It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Josh Fremd-Jamie Pickett pick and prediction.
Back to the middleweight division, Josh Fremd takes on Jamie Pickett as a -340 favorite and the second-largest favorite on the card. After an 0-2 start in the UFC, Fremd earned a submission victory over Sedriques Dumas in March of this year. Pickett has now lost three straight after most recently falling to Bo Nickal via submission in March.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Josh Fremd-Jamie Pickett
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Josh Fremd vs. Jamie Pickett Odds
Josh Fremd: Opened -350, Now -340 | Jamie Pickett: Opened +260, Now +270
Fremd has a 10-4 professional record with four knockouts and four submission victories. However, he has been knocked out and submitted once as well. Fremd comes from a wrestling background, evidenced by his 1.56 takedown average. With that said, Fremd only has 31% takedown defense and has been controlled in two of his last three bouts against Tresean Gore and Anthony Hernandez. He averages 3.05 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.71. Still, his 42% striking defense leaves plenty to be desired.
Pickett initially began training in Brazilian jiu-jitsu but has since become almost a pure striker. At 13-9 overall, Pickett has nine wins via knockout. Pickett has been knocked out twice and submitted on four occasions. Within the UFC, he lands 3.16 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.23. On the ground, he lands 1.34 takedowns per bout and has 66% takedown defense. Similar to Fremd, opponents Nickal and Kyle Daukaus both found success against Pickett on the ground in recent fights.
Neither fighter has much in terms of quality wins in recent matches. Fremd deserves his position as favorite, but -340 is a bit shocking for a low-level fight. Sprinkling Pickett at +270 makes sense for those getting deep into the betting cards this weekend.
