It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our J.P. Buys-Marcus McGhee pick and prediction.
In the men’s bantamweight division, J.P. Buys takes on Marcus McGhee as the longest underdog on the card at a price of +280. Buys has been horrific in the UFC, with an 0-3 record after going 1-1 on the Contender Series. He most recently was knocked out at the hands of Cody Durden in June of last year. Conversely, McGhee has a 1-0 UFC record after submitting Journey Newson earlier in April.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: J.P. Buys-Marcus McGhee
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: J.P. Buys vs. Marcus McGhee Odds
J.P. Buys: Opened +300, Now +280 | Marcus McGhee: Opened -400, Now -355
Buys comes from a wrestling background but lacks any sort of standup prowess. On the feet, he lands 1.89 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.02. His 39% striking defense speaks to his inability to defend in striking exchanges. On the ground, Buys averages 1.65 takedowns per bout. However, for a fighter with a wrestling background, his 25% takedown defense leaves plenty to be desired. Both Bruno Silva and Montel Jackson found success controlling him on the mat, and wrestling specialist Durden knocked out Buys in the first round. Buys is now 9-5 overall, and while he has three knockouts and five submissions, he has been finished four times. At this point, Buys looks like more of a regional talent.
McGhee has a 7-1 record. While a little less experienced in the cage, he is the older fighter at 33 years of age. McGee trains out of MMA Lab and prefers to stand and trade. He outstruck Newson 25-13 before landing a submission in his short-notice debut. McGhee appears to have decent takedown defense and the ability to work his way back to his feet when taken down. Among his seven wins, he has six knockouts and one submission.
Final J.P. Buys-Marcus McGhee pick and UFC Fight Night predictions: This bout presents plenty of volatility. Honestly, neither fighter has a win over quality UFC competition. McGhee should be the more well-rounded fighter, but a -355 price is absurd for this level of fight. McGhee is the official pick, but a better payout can be found by targeting a knockout win at -150.
