It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Tanner Boser-Aleksa Camur pick and prediction.
Now fighting at light heavyweight, Tanner Boser takes on Aleksa Camur as a -180 favorite. At 4-5 in the UFC, Boser’s move to light heavyweight did not go according to plan, as Boser was knocked out by Ion Cutelaba in the first round back in April. Camur has not fought since June of 2021, when he lost a questionable split decision to Nicolae Negumereanu.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Tanner Boser-Aleksa Camur Pick
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Tanner Boser vs. Aleksa Camur Odds
Tanner Boser: -180 | Aleksa Camur: +155
Boser comes from a pure striking background, landing 4.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.47. He has solid 60% striking defense despite his most recent knockout loss. On the mat, Boser has never landed a takedown and only defends them at 61%. Fighters who can control Boser on the mat can generally find victories. Boser has a 20-10-1 record with 11 knockouts and two submission wins.
Camur has a 6-2 professional record and is much younger in his career. He is just 1-2 in the UFC, but his most recent bout featured plenty of controversy. Referee Mike Beltran warned Negumereanu 11 times for a series of infractions, but none resulted in a point deduction. In a fight that ended in a split decision, this proved costly for Camur. From a statistical perspective, Camur lands 4.78 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.15. On the mat, he lands 0.59 takedowns per bout and defends them at 50%. Five of Camur’s victories have come by knockout.
This is one of the most volatile fights on the card, but Camur has a few paths to victory. While grappling is not his first instinct, Camur should have an edge on the ground over Boser. Camur also has the striking to challenge Boser on the feet given Boser’s recent losses. With this being a low-level light heavyweight fight, backing the underdog in Camur makes sense.
