It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Vicente Luque-Rafael dos Anjos pick and prediction.
Moving to the main event, Vicente Luque takes on Rafael dos Anjos as a +100 underdog. After previously making a run in the men’s welterweight division, Luque has now dropped two straight. Concerningly, Geoff Neal knocked out Luque last time out in August of 2022. Meanwhile, dos Anjos is fresh off a submission win over Bryan Barberena in December of 2022.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Vicente Luque-Rafael dos Anjos
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Vicente Luque vs. Rafael dos Anjos Odds
Vicente Luque: +100 | Rafael dos Anjos: -120
Luque has lethal skills on the feet and a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu on the ground. He has a 21-9-1 professional record with 11 knockouts and eight submissions. Luque has only been knocked out once and submitted twice in his career. He lands 5.49 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.51. He also scores 0.51 takedowns per bout while defending them at 61%. Most concerningly, Luque has been in multiple striking wars at this point. After suffering his first career knockout loss to Neal, Luque only recently received clearance to fight due to brain bleeding. Dos Anjos does a lot of his best work on the ground, but that kind of damage should be a concern for any fighter.
dos Anjos specializes in ground attacks, but he has also developed a well-rounded game. He is 32-14, and he has five knockouts and 11 submissions. Dos Anjos has been knocked out four times in his career. In the UFC, he averages 3.56 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.21. On the mat, he averages 2.05 takedowns per bout while defending them at 59%. With some of the best jiu-jitsu in the UFC, dos Anjos will often invite ground attacks so he can work his superior grappling.
Luque should have an advantage on the feet, while dos Anjos has superior ground attacks. Luque does have decent takedown defense and the ability to defend dos Anjos’ submission attempts. Since he is reportedly 100%, Luque should find success against dos Anjos on the feet. With dos Anjos showing some vulnerabilities on the feet recently as well, Luque is worth a sprinkle at the underdog price of +100.
