At UFC Fight Night, Melsik Baghdasaryan takes on Tucker Lutz as a -210 favorite this weekend. In this post, we’ll be looking at some Tucker Lutz-Melsik Baghdasaryan picks and make a prediction for the fight.
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UFC Fight Night: Tucker Lutz-Melsik Baghdasaryan Prediction and Odds
Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan Odds
Tucker Lutz: +175 | Melsik Baghdasaryan: -210
Baghdasaryan dropped his most recent bout against Josh Culibao via submission in February. Meanwhile, Lutz now comes off two straight losses at the hands of Pat Sabatini and Daniel Pineda. Both fighters will look to get back on track here.
Baghdasaryan comes from a kickboxing background and is 7-2 in his mixed martial arts career. Five of those victories have come via knockout. Baghdasaryan lands 5.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.28. His main weakness comes on the ground, where he has been submitted twice in his career. However, Baghdasaryan defends takedowns at 76%, only giving an edge to the division’s elite grapplers.
Lutz has a 12-3 professional record, winning six fights by knockout and two by submission. He lands 4.04 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.02. On the ground, he averages 1.77 takedowns while defending them at 69%. Lutz has shown the ability to implement his varied game against the weaker competition in the UFC, but he has never made the jump to the next level.
Lutz theoretically has a grappling advantage, but Baghdasaryan should be able to defend these attempts. On the feet, Baghdasaryan has a clear advantage, which should result in a victory here. Baghdasaryan via knockout could be worth a look here as well.
