Using the latest UFC Paris odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Benoit Saint Denis-Thiago Moises pick and prediction.
In the lightweight division, Benoit Saint Denis takes on Thiago Moises as a -170 favorite. Fresh off a submission win over Ismael Bonfim, Saint Denis rides a three-fight winning streak heading into this fight. Similarly, Moises has two straight victories after an impressive run in the division. Most recently, he defeated Melquizael Costa via submission back in January.
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Benoit Saint Denis-Thiago Moises Pick and Prediction
Benoit Saint Denis-Thiago Moises Odds
Benoit Saint Denis: Opened -135, Now -170 | Thiago Moises: Opened +115, Now +138
Saint Denis has an 11-1 professional record featuring two knockouts and nine submissions. His only loss came via decision at the hands of Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by decision in his UFC debut. Saint Denis comes from a wrestling background and has a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Within the UFC, he lands 4.11 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 6.14. Almost all of this negative striking differential comes from his bout against Dos Santos. With that said, his 41% striking defense is a concern. On the mat, Saint Denis averages 3.8 takedowns per bout while defending them at 85%. He will also hunt submissions, averaging 1.9 attempts per fight.
Moises has a 17-6 professional record at 28 years of age. Moises has three knockouts and eight submissions to his name. losses, Moises has been knocked out and submitted once apiece. However, those losses occurred against Islam Makhachev and Joel Alvarez at the top of the division. Moises comes from a Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, where he has a black belt. Inside the Octagon, he lands 2.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.9. grappling, Moises averages 1.53 takedowns per bout and has 60% takedown defense. Competition-wise, Moises has fought the tougher foes by a wide margin.
This is an interesting matchup overall. Both fighters do their best work on the ground, but it could be a potential chance to buy low on Moises after he lost to some of the top fighters within the division. Even if Saint Denis attempts to use his wrestling, he will need to mind Moises’ submissions. That is easier said than done, so playing Moises as an underdog makes sense.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Thiago Moises +138
