Using the latest UFC Paris odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Volkan Oezdemir-Bogdan Guskov pick and prediction.
In the men’s light heavyweight division, UFC veteran Volkan Oezdemir takes on UFC newcomer Bogdan Guskov as a -188 favorite. Now 1-3 in his last four fights, Oezdemir most recently lost a decision to Nikita Krylov in October of last year. Guskov rides a four-fight winning streak, having knocked out Carlos Eduardo in March of this year.
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Volkan Oezdemir-Bogdan Guskov Pick and Prediction
Volkan Oezdemir-Bogdan Guskov Odds
Volkan Oezdemir: Opened -155, Now -188 | Bogdan Guskov: Opened +130, Now +152
Oezdemir has an 18-7 professional record with 12 knockouts and one submission. Among his losses, he has been knocked out twice and submitted twice. However, most of these losses came against the top of the men’s light heavyweight division. Oezdemir comes from a kickboxing background, evidenced by his propensity for knockouts. In the UFC, he lands 4.53 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.97. He does not often shoot takedowns, but he averages 0.47 per bout. More importantly, he defends them at 80%, which has him up against most of the division. It should be noted that Krylov landed seven takedowns against Oezdemir and controlled him for over nine minutes last time out. However, that does not look like much of a concern against Guskov.
Guskov enters the Octagon with a 14-2 professional record. These wins include 12 knockouts and two submissions. He has only been knocked out one time, which came back in 2020. Guskov does his best work striking, evidenced by his win-loss record. The newcomer has fought a few legitimate opponents, but most of his fights came against underwhelming regional talent. With a veteran kickboxer on the other side, this will be Guskov’s toughest test to date.
In what projects to be a straight striking affair, Oezdemir has a strength of schedule and striking edge. Oezdemir has shown some durability concerns, but as long as he avoids big shots, he should take home a victory.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Volkan Oezdemir -188
