The NASCAR Xfinity Series stays west this weekend with the Call811.com 200 at Phoenix Raceway. William Byron, this year’s Daytona 500 winner, is in the field this week, which has led to some major consequences for the odds board. Saturday’s race should be fun, so let’s dive into the NASCAR Xfnity Series betting odds for Phoenix as we make our picks and predictions for the 2024 Call811.com 200.
Are you looking for more NASCAR sports betting content? We’ve got you covered. Check out the rest of our articles, including my 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series season preview and my NASCAR betting guide, all of which should help you make the best NASCAR Xfinity Series bet for the Call811.com 200 in Phoenix.
NASCAR Xfinity Series Bets: Call811.com 200 Odds, Picks & Predictions for Phoenix (2024)
NASCAR Phoenix Odds & Predictions
Odds are from pre-qualifying; click here for updated odds.
| Driver | Outright Odds | Top 5 Odds |
|---|---|---|
| William Byron | +240 | −250 |
| Chandler Smith | +550 | −125 |
| John H. Nemechek | +600 | −135 |
| Cole Custer | +600 | +100 |
| Justin Allgaier | +650 | −135 |
| Aric Almirola | +900 | +160 |
| Sheldon Creed | +1100 | +150 |
| Sammy Smith | +1100 | +130 |
| Riley Herbst | +1100 | +150 |
| Austin Hill | +1600 | +225 |
| Sam Mayer | +1800 | +275 |
| Jesse Love | +2000 | +275 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | +2000 | +225 |
Favorites | Call811.com 200 Odds
This year’s Xfinity Series race at Phoenix features a stacked entry list. Cup Series regular William Byron (+240) clocks in as the heavy favorite, slightly above fellow Cup driver John Hunter Nemechek (+600). Byron has one win at Phoenix on his Xfinity Series resume while Nemechek has zero.
Chandler Smith (+550) clocks in with the shortest odds of any Xfinity Series regular, but, like Nemechek, he is still looking first his first Xfinity Series win here. Unlike Nemechek, he has won here in the Truck Series, doing so in November 2021.
Contenders | Call811.com 200 Odds
Nemechek, Cole Custer (+600) and Justin Allgaier (+650) form a clump of drivers in a range that doesn’t quite offer enough value for me. Both drivers have won at Phoenix in the Xfinity Series before. Custer won last year’s fall race here on his way to the title while Allgaier’s wins came back in 2019 and 2017.
Aric Almirola (+900), driving the No. 19 Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing this week; his teammate, Sheldon Creed; and last year’s spring winner, Sammy Smith, all stand out in this price range. Smith cashed a +200 top-5 ticket for us here last spring on his way to Victory Lane. Creed finished P3 in that race, but he is now driving the No. 18 Toyota that Smith drove to the win last year. Ryan Truex finished P2 in the No. 19 that Almirola will drive.
Rounding out the contender tier are Riley Herbst (+1100), Austin Hill (+1600) and Sam Mayer (+1800). The three Xfinity Series regulars have career-best finishes of fourth, seventh and fifth, respectively, at this track. Mayer and Hill have led laps here in the past but Herbst is yet to do so.
NASCAR Xfinity Series Bets: Call811.com 200 Odds Picks & Predictions | Phoenix
Call811.com 200 Bet #1: It’s Toyota’s Race to Lose | NASCAR Xfinity Series
Three of the last six Xfinity Series in Phoenix were won by Toyota drivers: Sammy Smith, Ty Gibbs and Daniel Hemric. Two of those drivers scored their first Xfinity Series wins at this track.
This trend holds for more tracks than just this one. Last year, the Xfinity Series ran six races on short, flat ovals — two at Phoenix, two at Martinsville, one at New Hampshire and one at Richmond. Toyota again won three of six: Smith won once, Nemechek won twice.
Importantly, Toyota’s strong performance at short, flat ovals didn’t just come down to strong showings at the end of races. Last year, Toyotas led 55.6% of all laps in the Phoenix spring race and 38.1% in the fall. Toyotas led a whopping 59.3% of all possible laps on short, flat ovals.
This year’s field of Toyota drivers is stronger than last year’s, too. This year, Joe Gibbs Racing has Chandler Smith, John Hunter Nemechek, Aric Almirola and Sheldon Creed in the field — using the outright odds at DraftKings, these drivers combine for 48% chance to win this race, but we can buy Toyota on the manufacturers market at +180 on Caesars.
Call811.com 200 NASCAR Betting Prediction: Toyota +180 at Caesars
Call811.com 200 Bet #2: There’s a First Time For Everything | NASCAR Xfinity Series
My favorite driver to win this weekend’s Call811.com 200 is Sheldon Creed. At +1100 on DraftKings, he may have longer odds than each of his teammates, but that just makes this bet even sweeter. Creed finished third and second here last season, respectively, while piloting an undersupported No. 2 Chevrolet for Richard Childress Racing.
Creed is still looking for his first Xfinity Series win, but his resume on short, flat ovals in the series is impressive. Last year, he recorded three top-5s (and four top-6s) in six events, marking an improvement over the two top-5s (and three top-6s) he recorded at these tracks the year before. In the Truck Series, Creed scored a win and two top-5s in four starts here as well.
Creed came close to winning this race last year. Look for him to get over the hump in better equipment this year — or to at least score a top-5 finish.
Call811.com 200 NASCAR Betting Prediction: Sheldon Creed +1200 at Caesars
Call811.com 200 NASCAR Betting Prediction: Sheldon Creed T5 +170 at Caesars
