The goal of OddsShopper (as a leading betting model) is shopping lines and getting you top betting value by digging for the edges the market provides. For today, that shopping has led us to Cavaliers-Timberwolves, specifically an Anthony Edwards player prop, and even more specifically BetMGM.
BetMGM has some of the most competitive odds in the sports betting industry, and it recently introduced a new promo: Have your first bet paid back in bonus bets if it loses — up to $1,500!
If you haven’t signed up with BetMGM yet, March Madness (and the NBA stretch run) is a perfect time for it. Go do that, earn your bonus and then put in this Anthony Edwards bet!
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Anthony Edwards Player Prop: Best Cavaliers-Timberwolves Bet
Cavaliers-Timberwolves Player Prop: Anthony Edwards O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Check out that EV Age in the screenshot: That indicates how long BetMGM has kept the odds on Edwards under 6.5 rebounds at -105 despite the rest of the industry at a minimum having it at an even -110. Now, that may suggest the odds are unlikely to change barring a barrage of bets on the under, but just to be safe, it’s always smart to snag value while it’s there.
At just a little above plus money, a 54% win expectancy is phenomenal and leads to -117 True Odds according to OddsShopper. That makes this play +EV by over 5%. Now, there are other positive spots — anything shorter than -117 is going to be +EV — but BetMGM is the only spot better than -110.
Now to the sports side of this bet. Edwards is capturing all of our imaginations. We all love the dunks, the swagger, the ineffable dawg in him. And honestly, the rebounds have been killer lately — seven-plus in five straight. For the season, however, playing alongside Rudy Gobert (and Karl-Anthony Towns, who is out) has restricted Edwards to 5.4 per game.
The Cavaliers are a decent, if unspectacular, rebounding team (13th on the season), and they are also a pace down for Minnesota. As such, the environment is middling for Edwards on the boards, and the BetMGM valuable is too good to pass up.
Cavaliers-Timberwolves Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Under 6.5 Rebounds (-105 at BetMGM)
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