The NBA Playoffs march on Saturday with a packed four-game slate filled with some intriguing storylines. The Milwaukee Bucks currently have Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as questionable for their night game against the Miami Heat but will likely have to lean on role players such as Grayson Allen even if their best player is able to give it a go. Bettors have been lining up their best Bucks-Heat player props, but are off the mark on one Grayson Allen player prop. Bettors looking to find all of the best value throughout the NBA Playoffs should be sure to check out OddsShopper tools, including the recently-introduced Parlay Builder.
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Best Bucks-Heat NBA Player Props: Fade Grayson Allen?
Grayson Allen Prop: O/U 10.5 Points
Grayson Allen has found his stroke over the first two games of the NBA Playoffs, combining for 28 games against the Heat. Public bettors are beginning to take notice, making the bench player’s player props a popular wager ahead of Game 3. Per BetMGM‘s data, the over 9.5 Allen points (-110) is one of the top three most-bet props in the game. The public bets have run up the point total to 10.5 on some books.
Contrary to the public love, OddsShopper models say to fade Allen and take the under 10.5 points (-118 at BetRivers). The projections give Allen a 58% chance of going under the total, making for an ROI of 7%. Bettors looking to check out all other top plays should be sure to give OddsShopper Premium a look and take advantage of a free seven-day trial currently being offered!
Allen averaged 10.4 points per game during the regular season but has developed a reputation as a big game player. That label has certainly held true through the first two games. But to expect Allen to continue shooting at his current clip is a tough ask. Over the first two games, Allen has shot 55.6% from the field and 50% from 3-point range.
Look for the Heat defense to get Allen back closer to the 44.0% shooting clip he was at during the regular season, making the under a valuable play in his one.
The public bets may be flying in on Allen, but bettors should take the side of the sportsbooks don’t his one.
Best Bucks-Heat NBA Player Props: Grayson Allen Under 10.5 points (-118 at BetRivers)
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