The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to the nation’s capital for a matchup with the Washington Wizards tonight. Star guard Bradley Beal is questionable but was seen at shootaround, while wing Kyle Kuzma has been ruled out after an injury suffered on Sunday. Bettors looking to find a sharp play on Monday’s Cavaliers-Wizards action should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left a bit too much value on the Donovan Mitchell player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Cavaliers-Wizards NBA Player Prop | Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell Prop O/U 2.5 3-Pointers
The Washington Wizards have been getting cooked by shooting guards lately. They have allowed the third-most 3-pointers per game (4.4) to the position over the last seven games. Recent lowlights include a 9-for-12 night from Portland’s Anfernee Simons and a 4-for-5 showing from Brooklyn’s Cam Thomas. They’ll now face an elite perimeter shooter in Donovan Mitchell.
Mitchell can roast his opponents from above the break. He is averaging 3.6 3-pointers per game this season, 3.4 of which come from above the break. That should help him against Washington tonight, as the Wizards allow the 12th-most above-the-break 3’s per game (9.1) but the third-fewest corner 3’s (2.4). Mitchell shot 5-for-12 from the perimeter in his last game against Washington, albeit with Darius Garland sidelined. He shot 4-for-12 and 4-for-9 in two matchups against them with the Utah Jazz last season.
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Bettors can get this play at a bit of a discount because of Mitchell’s recent inefficiency from deep. He is a combined 8-for-30 (26.7%) from beyond the arc over his last three games. However, tonight’s defensive matchup gives him a chance to bounce back and regress to the mean. Mitchell has shot 38.7% from the perimeter on the year.
The books disagree about how to price this line. DraftKings Sportsbook has the total set to only 2.5, albeit with the juice stacked on the over at -155. FanDuel Sportsbook has it set to 3.5 with the juice stacked on the under at -184. Notably, FanDuel has Mitchell’s 3+ 3-pointer prop all the way down to -190, meaning bettors are scoring a ton of value at DraftKings relative to FanDuel’s price. Bettors should split a full unit between the over on both markets to maximize potential profits.
Best NBA Cavaliers-Wizards Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-155 for 0.75 Unit) at DraftKings
Best NBA Cavaliers-Wizards Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+142 for 0.25 Unit) at FanDuel
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