The Milwaukee Bucks will host the Boston Celtics tonight, but bettors expecting a competitive game should take note that Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are unlikely to play. Bettors searching for value on Tuesday’s Celtics-Bucks game should tail this NBA player prop at BetMGM — the book has left too much value on the Jrue Holiday player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best Celtics-Bucks NBA Player Prop | Jrue Holiday
Jrue Holiday Prop O/U 1.5 Steals
Point guard Jrue Holiday has an easy task ahead of him defensively. The Celtics won’t have Marcus Smart or Jaylen Brown. Jayson Tatum is doubtful, and both Robert Williams III and Grant Williams are questionable. Boston will have to rely on Derrick White, Malcolm Brogdon and ancillary pieces to get a win. Unfortunately, that isn’t a recipe for success against the relatively healthy Bucks.
Tatum and Brown have rarely missed games together. The last time they did came in late March of last year against the Toronto Raptors. The Celtics didn’t have Brogdon yet, but they had both White and Smart active for the matchup. They still turned the ball over 16 times and handed the Raptors 10 steals. A similar outcome is likely tonight, especially since Tatum, Brown and Smart all lead the Celtics in touches per game.
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But Holiday would make for a sharp target even if the Jays were active. Holiday stole two balls from the Celtics earlier this season. He averaged 2.5 steals per game against the Celtics in the 2021-22 regular season and 2.4 in their playoff series. This game may carry playoff seeding implications, so expect the Bucks to come into this one extra motivated.
The books aren’t pricing the over correctly. They have failed to adequately factor in Holiday’s recent dominance against the Celtics and Boston’s limited roster. The over sits all the way up at +170 on BetMGM, giving it implied odds of only 37%. Bettors can get away with wagering only a half-unit but profiting by nearly a full one at that price. New users at BetMGM can even secure $1,000 in first-bet insurance!
Best NBA Celtics-Bucks Player Prop: Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 Steals (+170 for 0.5 Unit) at BetMGM
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