The Miami Heat will head up to Wisconsin for a matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday night. The Bucks opened as five-point favorites for the matchup. Bettors looking for value on Saturday evening’s Heat-Bucks matchup should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left far too much value on the Brook Lopez player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Heat-Bucks NBA Player Prop | Brook Lopez
Brook Lopez Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
Milwaukee’s veteran center, Brook Lopez, has excelled from the perimeter this year. Lopez has made a career-best 37.3% of his long-range shots and is averaging 1.8 of them per game. Yet despite Lopez’s sharpshooting ability, the books have the juice stacked on the under for this NBA player prop, leaving tons of value on the over.
The Miami Heat struggle to defend ancillary weapons on the wing. They have allowed the second-most corner 3s per game (4.3) on the eighth-highest shooting percentage (40.6%). They just gave up eight corner 3s to both the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers. Their defensive woes should help Lopez from beyond the arc on Saturday, as he ranks second on Milwaukee’s roster in corner 3s made per game (0.5).
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Lopez has cooled off a bit from the perimeter in recent games, but the continued absence of Bobby Portis and Miami’s defense should help him get back on the right track. Lopez averaged 1.7 3-pointers per game in January and beat this number in eight of his 16 appearances — including two games against the Miami Heat that Giannis Antetokounmpo missed.
Bettors should lock in the over at any number higher than +105. DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best deal at +130. Caesars had opened this line but dropped it to +117 by publication, so bettors can probably expect a similar adjustment from DraftKings before tip. Users yet to register at DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
Best NBA Heat-Bucks Player Prop: Brook Lopez Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+130 for 0.75 Unit) at DraftKings
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