Basketball is a game of averages. Those who have tailed my NBA player props this season know that I find spots I like and then hit them continuously. The Minnesota Timberwolves just hosted the Sacramento Kings on Saturday, and although our play for that game didn’t hit, it remains a smash spot. Bettors looking to score some value on Monday night’s basketball action should tail this Kings-Timberwolves NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left too much value on the De’Aaron Fox player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Kings-Timberwolves NBA Player Prop | De’Aaron Fox
De’Aaron Fox Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
We backed Fox to shoot at least a pair of triples against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. He rewarded us by shooting 1-for-7 from the perimeter. Although the makes weren’t there, the attempts were — Fox tied for the team lead in attempted 3-point shots with sharpshooter Kevin Huerter.
The Timberwolves are a good spot for those eager to back Fox because of their poor perimeter defense and struggles against point guards. The Timberwolves have allowed the fourth-most made 3s to the position (3.2) this year. They also rank fourth but with a higher number through the last seven games (3.6). Minnesota also surrenders the fourth-most made 3s from above the break (9.9).
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Since Fox spends 100% of his minutes at point guard and ranks a close fourth on Sacramento’s roster in above-the-break 3s attempted per game (4.1), he should benefit from this matchup. That’s exactly why he took seven triples on Saturday, not far from his season-high (9). Fox banged home at least two triples in each of his games against Minnesota last year. Although the Timberwolves have since added Rudy Gobert, his presence in the paint should lead Fox to pull up more often.
The books have actually shortened Fox’s 3-point odds since the Saturday game. We got Fox at +138 to go over this number at FanDuel then but this number has since crashed to +115 at DraftKings Sportsbook. This play remains a high-value NBA player prop at any number above +105, and bettors should head to DraftKings for the best price — new users can even secure $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager! Users in Ohio can access that promotion via this link instead.
Best NBA Kings-Wolves Player Prop: De’Aaron Fox Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+115) at DraftKings
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