The Utah Jazz will host the shorthanded Dallas Mavericks tonight. After trading for Kyrie Irving, the Mavericks won’t have Dorian Finney-Smith or Spencer Dinwiddie tonight, and Luka Doncic remains out with an injury. Bettors looking to find a sharp play on Monday’s Mavericks-Jazz action should tail this NBA player prop at FanDuel — the book has left a bit too much value on the Walker Kessler player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Mavericks-Jazz NBA Player Prop | Walker Kessler
Walker Kessler Prop O/U 19.5 Points + Rebounds
The Dallas Mavericks have struggled against opposing big men of late. While some of their underperformance stems from the absence of Christian Wood, who will return tonight, not all of it does. The Mavericks have allowed the seventh-most points per game and the third-most rebounds per game to opposing centers through their last 15 games. They have also allowed the 17th-most points in the paint per game (50.5) through the last 15 despite playing at the third-slowest pace.
Further, Wood’s return may not affect Kessler much. The Mavericks will probably have to start him at power forward with Dwight Powell at center given their lack of options in the frontcourt. Further, Wood may see his minutes reduced in his return from injury, especially since Dallas may opt to trade him before the deadline. Wood’s increased offensive obligations could also prevent him from contesting as many rebounds or playing as aggressively on defense.
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The sportsbooks expect a blowout home win for the Utah Jazz. Kessler averaged 1.5 more rebounds per 36 minutes at home and 2.3 more in wins. The rookie center racked up 25 points and rebounds in 25 minutes against the Mavericks last week. He now faces a much worse version of that team. After a disappointing performance against the Hawks in his last time on the floor, expect Kessler to take out his frustrations on the Mavericks.
Members of the OddsShopper Premium Insider Access got this play at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, which had listed the prop at an off-market price. The book has since adjusted that line to -111. Bettors should wager enough to profit a half unit on this prop. Readers who are yet to register at FanDuel can even score a no-sweat first bet worth up to $3,000!
Best NBA Mavericks-Jazz Player Prop: Walker Kessler Over 19.5 Points (-111 for 0.55 Unit) at FanDuel
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