Eric Lindquist here, and welcome to another edition of NBA Lindy’s Leans, Likes and Locks! I have a quick but action-packed rundown for you today on this Tuesday slate, and I’m ready to dive right in with the four games. Let’s get straight into the action, starting with Toronto at Philadelphia. And if you haven’t already, check out our NBA +EV betting guide to help with today’s NBA expert picks and +EV NBA bets.
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Toronto Raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers
The 76ers are hosting the Raptors tonight, and this game has a lot of moving pieces. Philadelphia is coming off a Super Bowl celebration, so this could potentially impact Joel Embiid’s availability. Embiid might play in both halves of the back-to-back, but with the uncertainty surrounding his status, this game is tough to predict with any certainty. If Embiid is out, Andre Drummond could see some extra minutes, and Philadelphia’s rotation will become a lot trickier to navigate.
With Toronto getting 9.5 points, it’s tempting to lean toward the Raptors here. They’ve been solid, and with Embiid possibly sitting this one out, the spread feels a bit inflated. Still, given the uncertainty with Embiid’s status and how the lineup might shake out, I’m keeping this as a lean.
NBA Best Bet: Raptors +9.5 (LEAN)
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
This is a high-paced matchup with a total set at 234.5, and I’m leaning toward the over here. Both teams are in the top 10 for pace, and we’ve seen high-scoring games when they’ve met this season. The Knicks are firing on all cylinders offensively, and with a banged-up Pacers squad, this game has shootout potential. The key here is Myles Turner’s status — if he’s in, the Pacers should still be competitive, but even if he’s out, this game can still hit the over.
Given the matchup, the total of 239.5 feels too low, and it’s a number I’m leaning towards before it moves up.
NBA Best Bet: Over 234.5 (LEAN)
Detroit Pistons vs. Chicago Bulls
Chicago is hosting Detroit tonight, and the Pistons are playing great basketball, especially with Cade Cunningham leading the charge. Chicago has been struggling since trading Zach LaVine, and Detroit has been able to exploit that in recent matchups. Cunningham is in a great spot to hit his points and rebounds props, and with Chicago’s defensive issues, Detroit looks like a solid play tonight.
The spread is sitting at -4.5 for the Pistons, and while it’s an obvious lean, I wouldn’t take it just yet unless you can grab it at a closer line. Detroit has been impressive lately, and they can win outright, even though this one could end up being close.
NBA Best Bet: Pistons -4.5 (LEAN)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
We have a big total here with Memphis as a 2.5-point favorite against Phoenix. Kevin Durant is back for Phoenix, which adds a nice offensive punch to their lineup. But Memphis has been playing incredibly fast-paced, and even with Ja Morant in and out of the lineup, it has been keeping the tempo high.
That said, the 245.5 total feels a bit too high for a game that could turn into a grind, especially with both teams relying on smaller lineups at times. While Memphis has been shooting lights out, its defense could keep this one from reaching such a high total, so I’m leaning toward the under here.
NBA Best Bet: Under 245.5 (LEAN)
