It’s Eric Lindquist here, bringing you Tuesday’s edition of NBA Lindy’s Leans, Likes and Locks. Tuesday’s NBA slate is packed with action, featuring seven games that offer plenty of opportunities to find value. From game lines to odds and player props, there’s a lot to dissect. If you haven’t already, be sure to check out our NBA +EV betting guide — it’s an invaluable resource to pair with today’s NBA expert picks and +EV NBA bets!
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Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props, Lines & Odds
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Now we move on to the picks.
Phoenix Suns vs. Charlotte Hornets
This total is sitting way too low, my friends. At 221.5, we’re getting serious value, especially with LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller reportedly off the injury report and expected to play. Phoenix has been leaning on its depth, with guys like Bradley Beal stepping up off the bench.
The Suns aren’t exactly locking teams down defensively right now, and Charlotte’s offense looks poised to take advantage with Ball and Miller back in action. While I’m not locking this bet just yet — always keep an eye on late injury news—it’s a solid like on the over at 221.5, available on FanDuel.
NBA Best Bet: Over 221.5 (LIKE)
Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards
Let’s talk about Houston laying 11.5 points against a shorthanded Washington team. The Wizards are dealing with several key injuries, including Jordan Poole, Bilal Coulibaly and Carlton Carrington, who are all questionable. Meanwhile, Jalen Green is questionable for Houston, but his absence wouldn’t drastically impact this line thanks to the emergence of Cam Whitmore.
Malcolm Brogdon remains out for Washington as well, leaving Kyle Kuzma as their primary offensive weapon. Frankly, that’s not enough against a surging Rockets team. I like Houston to cover the 11.5-point spread here, though I’m keeping this to a half-unit play for now.
NBA Best Bet: Rockets -11.5 (LEAN)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks are on the second leg of a back-to-back, and both Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are out. That leaves the door open for some creative lineup decisions, and last night we saw Naji Marshall start at point guard.
Marshall’s assist prop opened at 3.5, and I see value here, especially if the Mavericks stick with him as their primary ball handler. Keep an eye on this situation — it could be a great ladder opportunity for assist props.
On the other side of this matchup, Austin Reaves continues to be undervalued in the assists market. Playing 40 minutes a night, Reaves is stepping into a significant playmaking role. I’d expect his assist prop to trend closer to 8.5 or 9.5, but for now, the market hasn’t fully adjusted. This is a great opportunity to take advantage before the books catch up.
NBA Best Bet: Naji Marshall Assists Ladder, Austin Reaves Assists Ladder (LEANS)
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans
This game is shaping up to be the most intriguing one on the slate, but it’s also loaded with question marks. Zion Williamson is questionable, and the Pelicans are already without Brandon Ingram and Trey Murphy, leaving them short on offensive firepower.
Minnesota, meanwhile, has been experimenting with their lineups, starting Dante DiVincenzo over Mike Conley in Monday’s game. With so many unknowns, I’m leaning towards under 221, but this is one to monitor closely as news unfolds.
NBA Best Bet: Under 221 (LEAN)
