Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today for Monday, April 29

The Los Angeles Lakers delayed the inevitable by winning Game 4 at home, bringing the series back to Denver. But now that the Minnesota Timberwolves have finished the Phoenix Suns in four, the Nuggets need to clean things up and start getting ready for the next series. Look for them to step it up in front of the home crowd.

While LeBron James has put together a solid series so far, averaging 27.3 points per game, he has needed to shoot 58/37/75 to do so. James shot 54/41/75 this regular season and 50/32/77 in 2022-23. He also shot just 52/27/76 in last year’s series versus the Nuggets. James might be a future Hall of Fame, but he probably can’t sustain his production in Game 5.

James’ points prop is trading at 26.5 across the market. While most books have the under priced well below even, ESPNBET is charging just +100. Sure, James has beaten that number twice this series, but the return to Denver could prove problematic. Over his last five trips to the Mile High City, James has scored over 26.5 points just once — his 27-point showing in Game 1 of this series. Let’s fade him once more, possibly for the last time this season.

Davis clocks in at just +110 at DraftKings to stay under the 13.5. He is averaging 15.8 rebounds per game this series, largely because of a 23-rebound showing in Game 4. He averaged 12.5 in Denver. That said, our tools don’t look at stats to originate picks.

So how do our NBA betting tools work? That’s simple: they index the odds from across the market; adjust for book sharpness, hold and more; and generate a wager’s true odds (a breakeven price).

When we can buy a bet for odds longer than that breakeven number, we know we’re getting +EV, which means we should add it to our cards. Our tools identify hundreds of these bets each day.

Bets like this one, over a large enough sample, can help you transform your bankroll just as they transformed mine. While you won’t win every bet, and your bankroll won’t transform overnight, we have the results to prove you’ll turn a profit over the long run.

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