It’s been nearly a full week since the All-Star Break, and the NBA is back to full swing on Sunday. Today we have NBA player prop picks for Victor Wembanyama and more. As always, for real-time access to all of OddsShopper experts’ picks to ensure you get the best odds, subscribe to OddsShopper Premium. If you’re hungry for more picks, check out our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos! You can also check out the OddsShopper guide to NBA player prop betting.
If none of that has convinced you to start using our market-based betting system, just take a look at the NBA player prop markets that OddsShopper’s model has been killing this season!
NBA Player Props Today: Picks for Victor Wembanyama & more
Paolo Banchero Player Prop
It’s been a rocky start to the second half for Paolo Banchero, who has averaged just 13.5 points per game in two contests since the All-Star Break. Tonight we get Banchero in the ultimate buy-low spot against an Atlanta Hawks team that will be a plus matchup for the Orlando Magic star.
The Atlanta Hawks rank dead last in the NBA in defensive rating while also playing at the third-fastest pace in the league. The Hawks will likely speed up the Orlando Magic, who rank 26th out of 30 teams in pace of play, and create more opportunities for Banchero, who has averaged 16.8 field goal attempts over his last four regular season contests. We only need Banchero to exceed his season average (22.7) in this one to beat the number.
Banchero has topped this total in each of his last two games against Atlanta, scoring 26 points in a 106-104 loss on Jan. 17 and netting 35 points in a 117-110 overtime victory on Jan. 7 (27 points in regulation). With the Magic listed as 1.5-point underdogs, this projects to be another close game in which Orlando will look to its All-Star forward to lead the way.
NBA Player Prop Pick: Paolo Banchero Over 22.5 Points (-105 on ESPN BET)
Victor Wembanyama Player Prop
The San Antonio Spurs will head to Salt Lake City to take on the Utah Jazz on Sunday night in a potentially exciting matchup of high-pace offenses and statistically poor defenses. The Spurs have lost three straight regular season games and posted just one victory in the entire month of February. Even though Wembanyama has shot the ball from deep at a high volume recently, OddsShopper Premium suggests that the value is too good to pass up on the 3-pointer market for Victor Wembanyama today, and the model has an ROI of 8.6% on all NBA player prop bets wagered 12 hours before tip this season. For more information about the prop markets the model is beating the most, check out our breakdown!
Our NBA betting tools are clearly indicating that DraftKings provides customers with the largest edge on this prop today, offering +140 odds when the true odds are just +121. Meanwhile, Pinnacle, a sharp book, lists the under 1.5 for +104, a marked discrepancy. OddsShopper calculates true odds by indexing odds available at all books and adjusting for book sharpness and hold.
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NBA Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made (+140 on DraftKings)
Ayo Dosunmu Player Prop
The Chicago Bulls are headed south to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday night. The Bulls have been hit hard with the injury bug this season – having already lost Zach Lavine for the year earlier this month – and will have to play the remainder of the year without Patrick Williams as well.
With the team’s injury woes mounting, Dosunmu has stepped into a larger role, but that shouldn’t stop bettors from taking a hard look at his points total on Sunday. Dosunmu’s points total is listed at 14.5 in most places, a number that he has gone under in four of his last six outings.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, ranking sixth in the league in defensive rating while playing at a middling pace. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls rank in the bottom third of the league in offensive rating, checking in at 21st, and play at the slowest rate in the NBA. With just a 16.2% usage rate, Dosunmu has averaged just 10.2 points per game this season. He’s averaged 16.2 points per game in his last five contests, but that includes a 29-point outburst against the putrid Atlanta Hawks defense. Remove that outlier performance from his game log and his scoring average drops below this total.
NBA Player Prop Pick: Ayo Dosunmu Under 14.5 Points (-120 on FanDuel)
Paolo Banchero Player Prop
Update: Banchero is out.
It’s been a rocky start to the second half for Paolo Banchero, who has averaged just 13.5 points per game in two contests since the All-Star Break. Tonight we get Banchero in the ultimate buy-low spot against an Atlanta Hawks team that will be a plus matchup for the Orlando Magic star.
The Atlanta Hawks rank dead last in the NBA in defensive rating while also playing at the third-fastest pace in the league. The Hawks will likely speed up the Orlando Magic, who rank 26th out of 30 teams in pace of play, and create more opportunities for Banchero, who has averaged 16.8 field goal attempts over his last four regular season contests. We only need Banchero to exceed his season average (22.7) in this one to beat the number.
Banchero has topped this total in each of his last two games against Atlanta, scoring 26 points in a 106-104 loss on Jan. 17 and netting 35 points in a 117-110 overtime victory on Jan. 7 (27 points in regulation). With the Magic listed as 1.5-point underdogs, this projects to be another close game in which Orlando will look to its All-Star forward to lead the way.
NBA Player Prop Pick: Paolo Banchero Over 22.5 Points (-105 on ESPN BET)
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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