The NBA will only play three games tonight, but all run simultaneously. The Wizards and Bucks will tip off alongside the Celtics and Thunder at 8 p.m. ET; the Kings and Jazz will follow an hour later. With three games starting at roughly the same time, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through the cracks.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds
The Oklahoma City Thunder have leaned heavily on star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander this season. He has responded by averaging a career-high 30.8 points per game. However, with a bigger role on his plate offensively, he has averaged only 4.8 rebounds per game, down from the 5 he averaged last season.
NBA Bet Pro projects Gilgeous-Alexander for 4.9 rebounds tonight — far closer to his season average than the betting markets. This bet has an expected win rate of 55%, which beats the 52.4% chance implied by the odds available at BetMGM. This wager is one of seven plays with EV above 5%, and bettors can view the other six with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Rebounds (-110) at BetMGM
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Walker Kessler Prop O/U 1.5 Blocks
Since Rudy Gobert’s departure, the Utah Jazz have featured a number of different big men on the floor. Rookie Walker Kessler is no exception. The first-round pick averaged 23.7 minutes per game in December, and he racked up 2.1 blocks per game through that stretch. NBA Bet Pro even projects Kessler for 1.9 blocks tonight against the Kings.
Kessler’s lofty projection gives this NBA player prop an expected win rate of 45%. But with DraftKings setting the odds for the over all the way up at +155, bettors are getting a ton of value relative to the implied odds of 39.2%. Bettors should head to DraftKings before the line moves. Users yet to register there can even score $200 in bonus bets after the placement of a $5 moneyline wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Walker Kessler Over 1.5 Blocks (+155) at DraftKings
Lauri Markkanen Prop O/U 7.5 Rebounds
Lauri Markkanen, another big man for the Utah Jazz, has begun to look like star the Chicago Bulls hoped he would become when they drafted him early in the first round. Markkanen is averaging a career-high 23.9 points and 1.9 assists per game. His 8.5 rebounds per game are up as well. NBA Bet Pro projects him 8.3 rebounds tonight, which gives bettors an edge on the over.
This bet has an expected win percentage of 53%, better than the 51.5% chance implied by FanDuel’s odds. Other books have set Markkanen’s odds up at 52.4%, so bettors eager to get action on this prop should head to FanDuel quickly in case the book adjusts. New users can even get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000 for any NBA game!
Best NBA Player Prop: Lauri Markkanen Over 7.5 Rebounds (-106) at FanDuel
