The NBA is in full swing with a jam-packed nine-game slate tonight. The Atlanta Hawks and Dallas Mavericks will square off on ESPN’s early slate, and then the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets will do battle late. With seven other games to follow, even the best bettors can let the sharpest NBA player props slip through the cracks.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 18
Aaron Nesmith Prop O/U 0.5 Assists
The Indiana Pacers got Aaron Nesmith in Boston’s deal for Malcolm Brogdon, and the former first-round pick has looked like a solid role player ever since. Nesmith is averaging 9.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game as a Pacer. With the total for his assist prop set so low, NBA Bet Pro lists him as a smart target for Wednesday. Nesmith has recorded at least one assist in 27 of his 38 appearances for Indiana.
Nesmith faces the fast-paced Oklahoma City Thunder tonight, and that matchup makes him a sharp play to go over this number. Unibet’s odds suggest the over should hit only 53.3% of the time, but NBA Bet Pro gives it an expected win rate of 63%. This play offers the best return on investment on the board and is one of 13 plays with double-digit EV. Bettors curious about the other great NBA player props available tonight can get a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro to find them.
Best NBA Player Prop: Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 Assists (-114) at Unibet
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The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
LaMelo Ball Prop O/U 6.5 Rebounds
Things have not gone as planned for the Charlotte Hornets this year. Once considered a contender for the play-in tournament, the Hornets own the NBA’s second-worst winning percentage and rank last in the Eastern Conference. LaMelo Ball and company will need to step on the gas to turn things around in the Queen City.
Charlotte draws the NBA’s only worse team, the Houston Rockets, in an early road contest. Despite the matchup, NBA Bet Pro has Ball recording just 4.9 rebounds — slightly below his season average of 5.4. This play has an expected win rate of 64%, better than the 57.5% chance implied by the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best NBA Player Prop: LaMelo Ball Under 6.5 Rebounds (-115) at DraftKings
Jordan Clarkson Prop O/U 3.5 Assists
The Utah Jazz surprised everybody with their strong start to the season. Once the Western Conference leaders, the Jazz have slumped to play-in tournament range and will need to step back on the gas to get back in the hunt. Guard Jordan Clarkson, who entered the starting five after Utah dealt Donovan Mitchell, has seen his usage increase this year and must play a big role against the Los Angeles Clippers tonight.
Clarkson has averaged 4.3 assists per game this year. He recorded at least four assists in Utah’s first three games against the Clippers, all of which came in November. NBA Bet Pro projects Clarkson for 4.5 assists tonight, slightly above his season average, which gives this play an expected win rate of 55%. That beats the implied odds of 50.5% available at FanDuel Sportsbook. New users at FanDuel can even secure $150 in bonus bets following a $5 wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jordan Clarkson Over 3.5 Assists (-102) at FanDuel
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