Injuries may spoil an otherwise exciting seven-game NBA card. The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors will square off at 10 p.m. ET on TNT, but several starters have landed on the injury report. The same is true for the Miami Heat, who could be without Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry. With five other games to track, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through the cracks, including one LaMelo Ball player prop.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 10
LaMelo Ball Prop O/U 8.5 Assists
The Charlotte Hornets will take on the Toronto Raptors tonight, and the sportsbooks are projecting Ball for a slightly above-average showing in the assists column. Ball has averaged 8.3 assists per game this year and has averaged 9.5 in his last four games. NBA Bet Pro projects him to regress against Toronto’s defense and finish with only 7.3 assists.
With an expected win rate of 60%, bettors can secure a fair chunk of value relative to the 56.5% implied odds at PointsBet. This NBA player prop is one of only 10 plays listed with EV of 7% of better. Those curious about the other nine props should try a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: LaMelo Ball Under 8.5 Assists (-130) at PointsBet
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Markelle Fultz Prop O/U 1.5 Steals
After injuries took away the first few years of Markelle Fultz’s career, he has emerged as a solid contributor to the Orlando Magic. Fultz has averaged 11.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game this year. More important, Fultz has stolen 1.7 balls per game. That includes a six-steal performance just two nights ago.
NBA Bet Pro projects Fultz for 1.8 assists tonight. That gives this NBA player prop a projected win rate of 45%, better than the 41.7% chance implied by the price at DraftKings. Users who are new to DraftKings can earn $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager! New users in Ohio can access the same deal via this link.
Best NBA Player Prop: Markelle Fultz Over 1.5 Steals (+140) at DraftKings
Jaden Ivey Prop O/U 14.5 Points
The Detroit Pistons have lost a number of key contributors to injuries. Bojan Bogdanovic is out with left calf soreness. Jalen Duren is out with ankle soreness. Marvin Bagley III and Cade Cunningham both suffered serious injuries that will keep them sidelined for the foreseeable future. That leaves Jaden Ivey to pick up the slack against the Philadelphia 76ers tonight.
According to NBA Bet Pro, Ivey should score 17.9 points tonight — far more than his current betting total at PointsBet. Further, he should hit at least one 3-point shot in the process. FanDuel has Ivey’s 3-point prop set to only 0.5, and bettors can head there for $150 in bonus bets following a $5 wager.
Best NBA Player Prop: Jaden Ivey Over 14.5 Points (-110) at PointsBet
