The NBA finds itself in the unenviable position of competing with the NFL playoffs this weekend, but tonight’s seven-game NBA slate still has plenty of value. The heavy sports action may be overwhelming for most sports bettors, but Stokastic has a great way to help with NBA player props.
Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro tool will come in especially handy on Saturday. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model has several value plays for player props on Saturday, including two centered around star big men, Joel Embiid and Domantas Sabonis.
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 21
Joel Embiid Prop O/U 4.5 Assists
Although the Philadelphia 76ers center is in the midst of another dominant season, there may be an opportunity to fade him on Saturday night against the Sacramento Kings. Embiid has not registered over 4.5 assists in any of his last six games, opting to stay aggressive with his shot and recording plenty of points.
NBA Bet Pro projects Embiid for 3.6 assists on Saturday, slightly below his season average of 4.2. This play has an expected win rate of 59%. The high expected value of 11% makes this Joel Embiid prop one of the best bets in the NBA slate. Bettors wondering about the other top plays can view them with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Joel Embiid Under 4.5 Assists (-115) at PointsBet
Looking for extra cash? New users at DraftKings Sportsbook can secure $200 in bonus bets! All you need to do is make a $5 bet, and you’ll receive the $200 whether your bet wins or loses.
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Precious Achiuwa Prop O/U 4.5 Rebounds
No NBA player prop on tonight’s card has more value than this one. Precious Achiuwa has averaged 5.3 rebounds per game with the Raptors but has seen those numbers fluctuate throughout the year. He had back-to-back games with at least seven rebounds before coming down with just four in the loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday night.
Achiuwa should come down with 6.6 rebounds tonight, according to NBA Bet Pro. That gives this NBA player prop a 65% chance of winning, with an expected value rate of 13%. It is the highest EV of any play on Saturday. Look for Achiuwa’s rebounding numbers to continue to increase as he gets more playing time in his third NBA season.
Best NBA Player Prop: Precious Achiuwa Over 4.5 Rebounds (-135) at DraftKings
Domantas Sabonis Prop O/U 8.5 Assists
Domantas Sabonis is on the verge of another All-Star caliber season. He continues to prove himself as one of the more well-rounded big men in the league. Sabonis is currently averaging a career-high 7.2 assists per game. He has really cranked up the assists number in recent games, finishing with over seven in each of his last five games. But NBA Bet Pro says to fade the Sacramento Kings star with sportsbooks inflating the prop lines given the hot streak.
The projections have Sabonis at 7.1 assists on Saturday night against the 76ers, giving the under some strong value with an expected hit rate of 60% and EV of 11%.
Best NBA Player Prop: Domantas Sabonis Under 8.5 Assists (-120) at PointsBet
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
