The NBA will play four games this evening, including two nationally televised contests on TNT. The Dallas Mavericks will host the Boston Celtics in the early slot, then the Denver Nuggets will host the Los Angeles Clippers in the late slot. With two other games to dive into, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through the cracks, including one Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive prop.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Thursday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 5
Grant Williams Prop O/U 3.5 Rebounds
The Boston Celtics lead the Eastern Conference, but they have gone only 5-5 through their last 10 games. Grant Williams, who is averaging 4.7 rebounds on the year, has seen his role decrease with Robert Williams III back in the lineup. NBA Bet Pro projects Williams for only 3.1 rebounds against the slow-paced Dallas Mavericks tonight, making this one of the best NBA player props on the slate.
Bets on the under for Williams’ rebounding prop should cash 52% of the time, according to NBA Bet Pro’s expected win percentage calculations. That’s far better than the implied odds of 47.6% available at BetMGM. This bet is one of only four plays on tonight’s card with double-digit EV, and bettors curious about the other four should try a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Grant Williams Under 3.5 Rebounds (+110) at BetMGM
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Jaren Jackson Jr. Prop O/U 2.5 Blocks
The Memphis Grizzlies paid Jaren Jackson Jr. a ton of money last season, and the big man has responded with impressive defensive contributions. Jackson is averaging 3.1 blocks per game and has gone over this total in 13 of his 21 starts this year. He’ll now face the sloppy Orlando Magic, who have allowed their opponents to swat away 5.1 shots per game.
NBA Bet Pro projects Jackson for a whopping 3.4 blocks tonight. That gives this bet a 51% expected win rate, dramatically better than the implied odds of 43.5% available at DraftKings. The odds for this prop sit at only +125 at BetMGM and +120 at Caesars. Bettors should head to DraftKings for the best price before the line moves. Users yet to register there can even score $200 in bonus bets after the placement of a $5 moneyline wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 2.5 Blocks (+130) at DraftKings
Ja Morant Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
Another Memphis Grizzlies star, Ja Morant, rounds out today’s column. Morant isn’t the most prolific 3-point shooter, but he has averaged a nice 1.7 triples per game this year. He even hit two in his most recent game, which came against the Charlotte Hornets. With NBA Bet Pro projecting Morant for 2.1 3-pointers tonight, bettors should hurry to take advantage of this plus-money NBA player prop.
This prop owns a 53% expected win percentage, which sits well above its implied odds of 49.5%. Bettors must head to FanDuel to take advantage of this deal — this line sits at -110 at BetMGM and -106 at Caesars. Head to FanDuel quickly in case the book adjusts to a more market-aligned price. New users can even get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000 for any NBA game!
Best NBA Player Prop: Ja Morant Over 1.5 3-Pointers (+102) at FanDuel
