After a loaded nine-game card, the NBA is in a bit of a letdown spot with only four games on tap for the evening slate. That said, consequential matchups abound — the Golden State Warriors will take on the Boston Celtics early, then the Brooklyn Nets will face the Phoenix Suns late. With so many big names on the board, even the best bettors can let the sharpest NBA player props slip through the cracks.
Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Thursday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Jan. 19
Drew Eubanks Prop O/U 0.5 Blocks
Although Portland’s backup center, Drew Eubanks, may not be a household name, the veteran big has averaged more than a block per game this year. Eubanks has finished with at least one block in 30 of his 42 appearances this year and in his last five matchups. NBA Bet Pro thinks he’ll maintain that trend tonight. He’ll face the Philadelphia 76ers, who have allowed the 11th-most blocks per game (5.1) despite playing at the NBA’s sixth-slowest pace.
NBA Bet Pro projects Eubanks for 1.1 blocks tonight, which is right at his season average. This play has an expected win rate of 57%, much better than the 54.6% chance implied by BetMGM’s odds. This prop is one of 10 with double-digit EV, and bettors wondering about the others can view them with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: Drew Eubanks Over 0.5 Blocks (-120) at BetMGM
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The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Precious Achiuwa Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds
No NBA player prop on tonight’s card has more value than this one. Achiuwa has averaged 5.3 rebounds per game with the Raptors but has seen his volume fluctuate. However, the talented big man has played 20-plus minutes over Toronto’s last three games and has averaged 6.3 rebounds through that span. He’ll now face a Minnesota Timberwolves squad playing on the wrong end of a back-to-back.
Achiuwa should come down with 7.4 rebounds tonight, according to NBA Bet Pro. That projection leans on the expectation that Achiuwa will continue to see increased run and play 23.9 minutes. This play boasts an expected win rate of 60%, far better than the 51.2% chance implied by the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. Users yet to register at DraftKings can secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Precious Achiuwa Over 5.5 Rebounds (-105) at DraftKings
Kyrie Irving Prop O/U 3.5 3-Pointers
With Kevin Durant out, Kyrie Irving must step up to carry the Brooklyn Nets. He has struggled when asked to fill in for Durant thus far, but the savvy veteran should turn things around against a banged-up Chris Paul and the Phoenix Suns. Irving had already been averaging 3.1 3-pointers per game, so he barely needs to beat his season average with Durant to cash this one.
NBA Bet Pro has Irving making 3.9 3-pointers tonight. That gives this play an expected win rate of 47%. Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook has the line for this prop set to +120 — or 45.5% — leaving a solid amount of value on the board for prospective Irving backers. New users at FanDuel can even secure $150 in bonus bets following a $5 wager!
Best NBA Player Prop: Kyrie Irving Over 3.5 3-Pointers (+120) at FanDuel
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