As the end of the NBA season draws nearer, bettors are diligently searching through the betting lines in search of profitable opportunities. In this article, we’ll delve into the three most promising NBA propositions and dissect why each bet could prove to be a prudent decision. Without further ado, here are the best NBA props for Thursday, March 30.
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Best NBA Props for Thursday | Brandon Ingram
Jamal Murray Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125, DraftKings)
Murray has the potential to excel even more if Nikola Jokic sits out tonight’s game due to a sore calf. Murray has proven himself as a viable scorer and distributor when he is the focal point of the offense, with points + assists + rebounds totals of 40, 41, 36 and 36 in the four games he played without Jokic this season.
Even if Jokic does play, Murray still has a great chance of exceeding 33.5 points + assists + rebounds. In his last six games, Murray has cleared this number in four of them and in 11 of his last 20 games. However, his usage rate, assist rate and rebound rate all increase drastically when he plays without Jokic, which bodes well for him tonight.
Brandon Ingram Over 32.5 Points + Assists (-115, DraftKings)
In his last eight games, Ingram has been the Pelicans’ leading scorer and distributor, with a usage rate of 32.8% and an assist rate of 35.8%. Ingram has gone over 32.5 points + assists in seven straight games, even though he has lost significant minutes due to blowout wins in four of them.
The Pelicans are in a crucial spot in the Western Conference Play-In race, and Ingram will be playing close to 40 minutes in any competitive game. Furthermore, the Nuggets are a middle-of-the-pack defense, even at home, where they have a 32-6 record this season. Ingram has a good chance of exceeding this number, especially given his recent form.
Jonas Valanciunas Over 10.5 REB (+100, BetRivers)
Valanciunas has gone over 10.5 rebounds in six of his last seven games since his minutes increased. While his minutes are volatile, there is still value in taking him to exceed 10.5 rebounds tonight.
Valanciunas only played 22 minutes against the Golden State Warriors in the last game, but this was due to their ability to kill teams from beyond the arc. He should play more minutes tonight against the Nuggets, who have a more traditional frontcourt. While he has played limited minutes against the Nuggets this season, he was in foul trouble in two of those games and Larry Nance Jr. went nuclear in the other game’s second half.
