The Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans will face off on this evening’s late slate. The Pelicans remain without Zion Williamson, while the Nuggets have listed Jamal Murray as questionable due to injury management. Bettors hunting for an angle for Tuesday’s Pelicans-Nuggets contest should tail this NBA player prop at FanDuel — the book has left too much value on the Kentavious Caldwell-Pope player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Pelicans-Nuggets NBA Player Prop | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
The Denver Nuggets shipped off Monte Morris and Will Barton to the Washington Wizards for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and the move has worked excellently so far. KCP has provided some much-needed defensive assistance without being a liability on offense. The veteran wing is averaging a pair of made 3s per game and 11.3 points. Two factors, Murray’s injury management program and New Orleans’ shoddy corner defense, could help him tonight.
First, Caldwell-Pope sees an uptick in volume when Jamal Murray rests. He has played in seven games without Murray and averaged 2.1 made 3s on 4.7 attempts in those contests. He sunk at least a pair of triples in five of those seven contests, giving the over a raw hit rate of 71.4% without Murray. While Murray’s status remains indeterminate, the Nuggets have almost always ruled him out when listing him as questionable for injury management purposes.
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Second, Caldwell-Pope shoots well from a part of the floor that the Pelicans have struggled to defend. He leads Denver in corner 3s made (0.8) and attempted (1.9) per game, good for an exceptional hit rate of 43.8%. Although he shot only 1-for-4 against the Pelicans last week, he played that game on the road, where he makes 7% fewer threes. Caldwell-Pope is shooting an incredible 49.6% from deep in Ball Arena while averaging 2.3 makes per game this year.
Although tonight’s contest will likely center around Nikola Jokic and Brandon Ingram, sharp bettors know to target the lower-profile players for the most value. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope fits the bill, especially since the books have some inefficient prices on the board. DraftKings has the over priced at -150. FanDuel has it at -136 — but users who select the “2+ Made Threes” market can still buy this prop at -130. Split your action between the primary prop and a teased-up market by using the structure below. Users who are new to FanDuel can secure a no-sweat first bet of up to $3,000 on this year’s Super Bowl!
Best NBA Pelicans-Nuggets Player Prop: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2+ 3-Pointers (-130 for 0.65 Unit) at FanDuel
Best NBA Pelicans-Nuggets Ladder Bet: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3+ 3-Pointers (+250 for 0.25 Unit) at FanDuel
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