Tonight marks the start of the inaugural NBA In-Season Tournament, which will conclude on Dec. 9 in Las Vegas. In short, the format is similar to the FIFA World Cup, with group play followed by a knockout round. The winning team will receive a cash prize. Will this affect our NBA PrizePicks props tonight? No, but it could have an impact during the knockout round. We have a seven-game slate tonight with a few notable players sitting out, including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder. All of the game totals range between 220.5 and 225.5, with Mavericks-Nuggets being the highest.
Picking the right props can be a tough task, but with the help of Stokastic’s NBA Pick’Em Pro tool and some diligent research, we have you covered. Let’s get to the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player props for Friday.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 3
Josh Giddey M/L 36.5 Fantasy Score
Gilgeous-Alexander is out for the Thunder, and the biggest beneficiary is Josh Giddey. Giddey is averaging 1.16 fantasy points per minute and a 33.6% assist percentage since the start of last season without Gilgeous-Alexander on the court. This year, in 35 minutes, he’s at 1.22 fantasy points per minute with a 36.4% assist percentage.
The Warriors’ pace has started off slow, but they have played without Draymond Green and Klay Thompson for a significant amount of time. Not having Jordan Poole has slightly slowed them down, but they did lead the NBA in pace last season, and they should start climbing closer to that ranking with Green back. The Thunder were third in pace in 2023 and currently rank sixth after two weeks. Stokastic projections have Giddey projected for 34 minutes and 42.3 fantasy points tonight, well over this prop.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Josh Giddey More Than 36.5 Fantasy Score
Chet Holmgren M/L 32.5 Fantasy Score
I love stacking games for flex plays, and that’s what we’re doing here with lots of value on the Thunder. Chet Holmgren is in a similar situation as Giddey. When Gilgeous-Alexander is off the floor, Holmgren is averaging 1.25 fantasy points per minute. Projected for 32-plus minutes, Holmgren benefits from the scoring system on PrizePicks, where blocks and steals count as 3 points each. He’s averaging 3.6 blocks + steals per game; that’s 10.8 fantasy points right there.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Chet Holmgren More Than 32.5 Fantasy Score
Bam Adebayo M/L 1.5 Blocks + Steals
Known for his defensive presence, Bam Adebayo finds himself in a great spot tonight against a very sloppy Washington Wizards team. He is averaging 2.3 blocks + steals this season and put up 2.0 last year. The Wizards rank 24th in opponent steals (9.0) and opponent blocks (6.3) per game while running at the fastest pace in the NBA. The Miami Heat are favored by 8 points, and this game has a decent 224 total.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Bam Adebayo More Than 1.5 Blocks + Steals
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
