Wednesday has a seven-game main slate, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET with the Lakers-Pistons in Detroit. The night will close out in Sacramento for the Clippers-Kings. It will be hard to compete with the excitement level of last night’s in-season tournament play, but hopefully tonight’s games can stay competitive enough hit on these PrizePicks NBA plays.
A number of players are questionable tonight, including Nikola Jokic, Kevin Durant, LeBron James and Anthony Davis, so keep an eye on the news and pounce on some potential value when it comes up.
Picking the right projections can be a tough task, but with the help of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and some diligent research, we have you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player projections for Wednesday, starting with Paolo Banchero.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 29
Paolo Banchero M/L 22.5 Points
Paolo Banchero has significantly elevated his game in his sophomore season, guiding the Magic to a 12-5 record and holding the third spot in the East. Averaging 19.9 points per game, with an impressive 23.6 over his last five, Banchero has showcased remarkable efficiency. His field goal percentage has improved from 42.7% last year to 48.8% this season, and his three-point percentage (3P%) has risen from 29.4% to 43.5%.
Not only is he currently on a hot streak, but he also has the best matchup in the NBA tonight. We’ve targeted the Wizards all season, and we’ll continue to until their defense shows signs of improvement.
The Wizards allow the second most points and points in the paint in the NBA. They rank second in pace of play, while their defensive rating ranks 29th. This game boasts the highest total of the night at 234, and despite the Magic being favored by 10 points, they continue to play without Markelle Fultz. Without Fultz, Banchero has averaged 22.6 points in 25 games.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Paolo Banchero More Than 22.5 Points
Tobias Harris M/L 16.5 Points
Tobias Harris finds himself in a favorable matchup tonight in a pace-up spot against the Pelicans on the road. The 76ers are 2.5-point favorites, accompanied by a healthy 230-game total. Harris has been averaging 18.6 points per game this season and exhibits a notable difference in three-point shooting, registering 37% on the road compared to just 28% at home.
Using OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool, I discovered that most operators heavily favor the more than 16.5 points. In the 11 games without Kelly Oubre, Harris has increased his field goal attempts, averaging 14.6 compared to 13.1 with him. Let’s seize this opportunity in what could be a high-scoring, back-and-forth game.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Tobias Harris More Than 16.5 Points
Taurean Prince M/L 10.5 Points
Taurean Prince isn’t the most exciting pick at the moment, but OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool says going with less, has a 5% Expected Value (EV) and a 58% Win Percentage. Prince averages just 8.2 points per game, and that number dropped to 7.6 over his last five games. He’s not known for his scoring, as he maintains a career average of just 8.7 field goal attempts per game.
His point production heavily relies on three-pointers, and there’s only been one game this season where he exceeded 10.5 points without making a 3-pointer – that game was against Portland, and LeBron James didn’t play. Prince finished with 11 points.
Tonight’s matchup against Detroit poses a challenge for Prince, as the Pistons rank third in opponent 3PM, allowing just 10.8 per game. If the volume isn’t there for Prince tonight, scoring 11 points is going to be tough.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Taurean Prince Less Than 10.5 Points
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
