Wednesday’s PrizePicks NBA predictions went well, with all three of our plays hitting effortlessly thanks to Joel Embiid, who scored 30 points in the first half, exceeding his points prop by 13. Today’, we have’s is a seven-game slate starting at 7:30 p.m. ET, featuring a rematch of Tuesday’s clash between the Cavaliers and Celtics. Boston’s 7-point victory earned it a 9-point spread for this game. Three West Coast games are on tonight, including Thunder-Kings boasting the highest total of the night at 244.5 and the closest spread at just 1 point. A great game environment makes De’Aaron Fox stand out.
Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and thorough research, we’ve got you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks for Thursday!
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Dec. 14
De’Aaron Fox Jr. M/L 5.5 Free Throws Made
De’Aaron Fox is in a great position to surpass his free-throw play tonight. The Kings are 1-point home favorites over the Thunder in a game with the highest total on the slate. This is a pace-up spot for the Kings too, who already rank 11th in pace. Fox is averaging 29.5 points per game, with 5.6 of those coming from the free-throw line. At home, he’s averaging 6.3 free throws on 9.0 attempts.
The Thunder allow the second-most points to the guard position, and a big reason is free throws. They rank 29th in opponent free-throw makes and attempts against guards. These teams have yet to play this season, but in his last three matchups against Oklahoma City, Fox averaged 6.3 free throws on 11.3 attempts.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: De’Aaron Fox More Than 5.5 Free Throws Made
Jayson Tatum M/L 3.5 Turnovers
The Celtics beat the Cavaliers 120-113 on Tuesday at home and get to play them again tonight as 9-point favorites. Jaylen Brown is questionable for this game after rolling his ankle on Tuesday, and with the Celtics playing again tomorrow, there’s a good chance he will get ruled out tonight. Meanwhile, Evan Mobley will miss another game for Cleveland, making their defense less formidable. Jayson Tatum averaged 3.2 turnovers in 10 games without Brown last season and had three in the one game without him this year.
Tatum is averaging 3.2 turnovers per game this season and 3.0 at home. He had four in 40 minutes during Tuesday’s game. This play currently has a 6% EV and 58% expected win rate on OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool, the highest ratings today in the NBA. All the books are juiced to the under at -150 or higher. I’m going to trust the tool here and bank on Tatum controlling the ball in a game the Celtics are heavily favored.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Jayson Tatum Less Than 3.5 Turnovers
If you’re looking for some other pick’em action on tonight’s Thursday Night Football game, Sleeper Fantasy has a pick on sale for Davante Adams: All he needs is to record 1 yard receiving and this pick is a winner! Remember, you need at least two picks for a successful Sleeper entry, and if you’re looking to find the highest-EV Sleeper picks, OddsShopper Premium has the No. 1 Pick’em projections out there!
Kawhi Leonard M/L 30.5 Points + Assists
Golden State will be playing without Draymond Green, who was suspended indefinitely by the NBA for clobbering Jusuf Nurkic on Tuesday, making the Clippers 5-point home favorites in this one. Kawhi Leonard has been rolling lately, and with the game at a 233 total, he should continue his solid play tonight. Over his last 10 games, Leonard averaged 33.6 points + assists on 60.2% shooting. The Clippers seem to have adjusted to James Harden, but the big difference between the first 10 games and these last 10 is Leonard’s minutes.
In the last 10 games, he’s played an average of 35.9 minutes, including three games where he played 39 minutes. The Warriors rank 16th in defensive rating and rank sixth in pace when playing on the road. Most books have the over juiced on this play, while FanDuel has this listed at 31.5. Additionally, Paul George left Tuesday’s game with a groin injury and is questionable for tonight. If he’s unable to go, Leonard gets a 3% usage bump. In his last 20 games without George, Leonard averaged 30.6 points + rebounds.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Kawhi Leonard More Than 30.5 Points + Assists
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
