The NBA has a small four-game main slate tonight, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET. The Pacers are 12-point home favorites over the Trail Blazers in the highest total of the night at 239.5. We’ll close out the night in Los Angeles with Nuggets-Clippers. Aaron Gordon has been ruled out, and with Jamal Murray still out, we should see some value from Denver pop up on the board later.
Picking the right projections can be a tough task, but with the help of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and some diligent research, we have you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player projections for Monday, starting with, Malcolm Brogdon.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Nov. 27
Malcolm Brogdon M/L 37.5 Fantasy Points
Portland is a 12-point road underdog in Indiana, but Malcolm Brogdon is in a great spot to surpass his fantasy projection tonight. Averaging 1.22 fantasy points per minute, Brogdon should be in line for 30-plus minutes tonight in a revenge game against his former team. He’s been solid this year, averaging 27.7 minutes per game and 15.8 field goal attempts. He ranks 12th in the NBA in both assists (6.8) and potential assists (12.8).
Indiana ranks first in pace and 28th in defensive rating, so there is no surprise this game has the highest total on the night. This is a great game environment for fantasy points, and with a little extra motivation against his former team, Brogdon will get more than 37.5 fantasy points.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Malcolm Brogdon More Than 37.5 Fantasy Points
Brandon Ingram M/L 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Brandon Ingram gets a favorable matchup tonight against the Utah Jazz, who rank in the bottom 5 in opponent points, assists and 3-pointers. Both the Pelicans and Jazz are in the top 10 in pace, while Utah ranks 25th in defensive rating. Ingram is averaging 35 points+ rebounds + assists on the season and has increased his production over the last five games to 37.6 points+ rebounds + assists. C.J. McCollum still out for New Orleans, and in his last 10 games without McCollum, Ingram is averaging 36.6 points+ rebounds + assists.
OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool shows that every other operator is heavy on more than 35.5.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Brandon Ingram More Than 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Deandre Ayton M/L 34 Fantasy Score
Deandre Ayton is in the same game as Malcolm Brogdon and should also take advantage of the favorable matchup in a pace-up spot. In 11 games with Brogdon, which includes tough matchups with Orlando, Toronto and Philadelphia, he’s averaged 33.2 fantasy points. Ayton gets all his points in the paint, and luckily for him, the Pacers allow 63.5 points in the paint per game, the most in the NBA. Ayton has also done well against Myles Turner in the past, averaging 42.5 fantasy points in their last five matchups.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Deandre Ayton More Than 34 Fantasy Score
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
