Tuesday kicks off with a 9-game NBA slate starting at 7 p.m. ET, featuring Wizards-Magic in DC. Jazz-Spurs boasts the highest total of the day at 243.5 in San Antonio, and we’ll wrap up the night in Los Angeles with Hornets-Clippers, showcasing an 11-point spread, the largest on the slate. Let’s delve into the top PrizePicks NBA plays for tonight starting with, Mike Conley.
Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and thorough research, we’ve got you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks for Tuesday!
NBA Player Predictions | Dec. 26
Mikey Conley M/L 10.5 Points
Mike Conley is averaging 12.3 points on the road in 15 games and faces a favorable matchup in Oklahoma City tonight. The Timberwolves are 2.5-point underdogs with a 228-game total. The Thunder rank 24th in defensive rating against guards this season and funnel most of their opponents’ offense to guards.
The Thunder allow the most 3-point makes and the second-most points to guards this season. Specifically, they permit the most corner threes attempts in the NBA at 12 attempts per game. I’m betting on Conley reaching 11 points in a pace-up game on the road.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Mike Conley More Than 10.5 Points
Keegan Murray M/L 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)
Keegan Murray has had some significant games this season, including a 47-point performance with 12 three-pointers against Utah. However, tonight’s matchup isn’t the most favorable. Portland allows the ninth-fewest points to opposing forwards, mainly due to their ability to limit three-pointers. They hold opponents to just 33 percent from beyond the arc, allowing only 4.8 three-pointers per game to forwards.
Murray averages 23.4 PRA, but only 17.6 on the road, where tonight’s game is. This projection has a 6% EV and a 57% expected win rate on OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool, with true odds of -135, making it the top-rated play in the NBA today.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Keegan Murray Less Than 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Jalen Green M/L 7.0 Rebounds + Assists
Similar to the Thunder, the Pacers struggle against guards and rank in the bottom five against guards in free throws made, points, and assists. This sets up a great matchup for Jalen Green, who averages 7.6 rebounds + assists this season. Observing his recent games, there seems to be an added spark in his play, and I anticipate a breakout soon. This is the perfect opportunity to capitalize on in a pace-up spot.
Indiana ranks second in pace and 28th in defensive rating this season. The Rockets are 3.5-point favorites, and this game has a healthy total of 237.5. While I also like Green’s PRA tonight, his shooting is unpredictable, and the projection on PrizePicks is a point higher than some other books.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Jalen Green More Than 7.0 Rebounds + Assists
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
