Monday’s PrizePicks NBA slate has 13 games, highlighted by a 247.5 total for Pacers-Pistons in Detroit. Then it will close out the night with two West Coast games, including Trail Blazers-Clippers, which has the largest spread of 13 points.
Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of OddsShopper’s NBA PrizePicks Optimizer and thorough research, we’ve got you covered. Let’s dive into the best PrizePicks NBA picks and player projections for tonight, starting with Nikola Jokic.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions | Dec. 11
Nikola Jokic M/L 13 Rebounds
Jokic has even money on getting a triple-double tonight; that’s how good this guy is. He can be the best player in the league every single night, and tonight he gets a favorable matchup against the Atlanta Hawks. Jokic leads the NBA with 12.9 rebounds per game and is third with 20.5 potential rebounds.
The Hawks rank 20th in the NBA in field goal percentage and have been even worse over their last five games, shooting just 42.7%. They rank 20th in opponent rebounds per game and 26th in opponent offensive rebounds. Jokic is averaging 4.1 offensive rebounds over his last 10 games. Some books have this at 12.5 at -140, while others have this at 13.5. This is one of those games where Jokic will get 18 to 20 rebounds.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Nikola Jokic More Than 13 Rebounds
Nick Richards M/L 9.5 Rebounds
The Hornets are 3-point home underdogs against the Miami Heat with a 109 implied team total, the third lowest of the night. Nick Richards has gotten more opportunity lately due to Mark Williams missing time. Williams is doubtful for tonight, and assuming he will not play, Richards should get the start. In the last nine games Richards has started, he averaged 26.2 minutes and 10.4 rebounds. He played just 13 and 23 minutes in two of those. Both of those games the Hornets lost by 25-plus, and one of them was against Joel Embiid and Richards had early foul trouble.
Tonight’s matchup with the Heat would usually be tough, but with Bam Adebayo out, things should open up a bit more on the glass. Miami ranks ninth in opponent rebounds on the season but has dropped to 14th in the last three games without Adebayo. It has also attempted three more 3’s a game, which means more rebound opportunities. In the last two games without Williams, Richards is averaging 18.5 rebound chances.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Nick Richards More Than 9.5 Rebounds
Caleb Martin M/L 30 Fantasy Score
Caleb Martin gets a favorable matchup against the Hornets, who rank 29th in defensive rating over their last five games. Oddly enough, the Heat rank 30th in that span without their defensive anchor Bam Adebayo. In the five games without Adebayo this season, Martin is averaging 32.8 fantasy points per game and is at .98 fantasy points per minute without Adebayo and Tyler Herro on the floor. Martin should play about 32 minutes tonight and surpass 30 fantasy points.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Caleb Martin More Than 30 Fantasy Score
Two-pick power plays and five-pick flex plays have the most expected value. If you’re looking for more picks, check out our PrizePicks Optimizer.
