After the Bulls and Pistons square off in Paris, the NBA will play four more games later tonight. The Golden State Warriors will square off against the Boston Celtics in TNT’s early slot, then the Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns will do battle in the late spot. With so much action in store, even the best NBA bettors can let the sharpest PrizePicks NBA player props slip through the cracks, especially one high-value Damian Lillard play.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props at PrizePicks.
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PrizePicks NBA Player Props | Jan. 19
Precious Achiuwa Prop O/U 5.5 Rebounds
The Toronto Raptors will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Wolves may not have the services of starting center Rudy Gobert, who is questionable and missed last night’s game against the Denver Nuggets. They definitely won’t have Karl-Anthony Towns, either. Their thin frontcourt may struggle to box out on short rest, and Precious Achiuwa could capitalize.
Achiuwa has seen his role increase of late. The Raptors have let him play 20-plus minutes in his last three contests, and he beat this rebounding total in two of them. The PrizePicks NBA player props tool has Achiuwa coming down with 7 rebounds tonight, good for a sizeable edge relative to this betting total and a 70% expected win rate. Only two other plays have an expected win rate above 65%, and bettors can find those plays and more with a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Precious Achiuwa Over 5.5 Rebounds
Damian Lillard Prop O/U 4 3-Pointers
The Portland Trail Blazers will need Damian Lillard to step up to beat the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. But since the 76ers play at the NBA’s sixth-slowest pace, Lillard may struggle to cash this prop. Philadelphia’s defense has even allowed an NBA-low 2.2 3-pointers per game to point guards. Just one game after he banged in six triples against the Denver Nuggets, Portland’s superstar is a sharp fade for PrizePicks players.
Lillard has banged in four 3-pointers or more in 17 of his 32 starts this year. But that isn’t stopping the PrizePicks NBA player props tool from projecting Lillard for only 3.7 3-pointers tonight, which is enough to give the under an expected win rate of 62%. NBA bettors should head to PrizePicks to tail this play — especially since new PrizePicks users can even get a $100 instant deposit match!
Best NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard Under 4 3-Pointers
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T.J. Warren Prop O/U 13.5 Points
With Kevin Durant sidelined, the Brooklyn Nets will have to get a bit more creative with their rotations. While the books expect this to benefit T.J. Warren, the PrizePicks NBA player props tool isn’t so sure. Warren has beaten this number in just six of his 19 appearances for the Nets. He’ll now face a Phoenix Suns squad that allows the fewest points per game to small forwards (19.3).
Although Warren probably won’t draw most of star defender Mikal Bridges‘ attention, he should get enough of it to struggle on the scoreboard. The PrizePicks NBA player props tool has Warren scoring only 12.1 points tonight, which gives users more than a point of edge on this market and a 61% expected win probability. Exactly 11 plays have expected win rates of 60% or higher, and bettors can dive into them right now just by signing up for a one-week free trial of NBA Bet Pro.
Best NBA Player Prop: T.J. Warren Over 13.5 Points
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