The Detroit Pistons and Houston Rockets will square off tonight in the Little Caesars Arena. This season hasn’t gone as planned for either team, as both rank at the bottom of their respective conferences. However, their inefficient defensive play opens up some value on the player prop markets. Bettors looking for the best line should tail this Rockets-Pistons NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left too much value on the Jaden Ivey player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Rockets-Pistons NBA Player Prop | Jaden Ivey
Jaden Ivey Prop O/U 5.5 Assists
The Houston Rockets cannot defend opposing point guards. They rank 28th in defensive efficiency and play at the NBA’s 16th-fastest pace. That has allowed opposing point guards to average an NBA-high 27.6 points and 9.6 assists per game. Although their defense has made some improvements with Kevin Porter Jr. out, it hasn’t been enough to warrant posting Ivey’s assist prop in the plus money.
With Cade Cunningham out for the year, Jaden Ivey has had plenty of chances to improve as a playmaker and shot-creator. He started the year by averaging only 3.6 assists per game over his first 10 outings. But through his last 10 games, Ivey has averaged an impressive 6.3 assists per game, including six showings with six assists or more. He averaged 11 potential assists per game through that span while pass-first guard Killian Hayes averaged 11.1.
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Ivey dished out a career-high 11 assists with Hayes sidelined earlier in the week. Hayes played off the bench in Detroit’s last contest, helping Ivey rack up another eight assists. Although Hayes will probably slide back into the starting five tonight, there’s a chance the Pistons keep rolling with Ivey at the one spot. Further, this prop total is low enough to warrant targeting Ivey even alongside Hayes, as the potential assist splits reveal that both players have set up their teammates at similar rates.
The odds for Ivey’s assists vary wildly across the market. Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has the over set to -117. FanDuel has that number at -105. But for some reason, DraftKings Sportsbook is selling this number at +105. That number feels far too long for a play that has hit in 60% of Ivey’s last 10 starts. Users who are new to DraftKings can score $200 in bonus bets with a $5 wager. Those in Ohio can access that deal via this link instead.
Best NBA Rockets-Pistons Player Prop: Jaden Ivey Over 5.5 Assists (+105) at DraftKings
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