We have 10 NBA games to pick from today, including Hornets-Pacers with the highest total on the night of 247.5. There are two discounts on the board that will be active until those player’s games tip off. If you’re not familiar with Sleeper NBA discounts, you need to pair the pick with at least one other player from a different team, and it’s a one-time $10 max-entry. Let’s dive into the best Sleeper Fantasy NBA picks, starting with the Jalen Brunson discount.
The NBA can be confusing to navigate with so many players questionable and or sitting out so let’s find some plus EV plays and win some money! Please take advantage of our Sleeper Fantasy promo: Get your first deposit matched on Sleeper up to $500!
Best Sleeper NBA Picks & Predictions
Jalen Brunson H/L 19.5 Points (24% off)
Jalen Brunson leads the Knicks in scoring at 25.6 points per game and ranks fourth in the NBA with a 46.1 3-point percentage (minimum five attempts). The Knicks are 1.5-point road underdogs in Brooklyn against the Nets with a 232 total.
The Nets rank 21st in defensive rating, while opponents are shooting 40% from 3-point range against them. That’s the second-highest percentage in the NBA. The Knicks will be playing with one center tonight, as Mitchell Robinson and Jericho Sims are both out. We should see Julius Randle play some five tonight, giving Brunson full reign of the perimeter in those minutes.
Best Sleeper Fantasy NBA Pick: Jalen Brunson More Than 19.5 Points
Joel Embiid H/L 28.5 Points (19% off)
Joel Embiid is the other discount on the board today, lowering his point projection from 33.5 to 28.5. Embiid leads the NBA in scoring at 34.4 points per game and gets a favorable matchup tonight. Minnesota has the best defense in the NBA this season. However, its weak spot is against the center position.
The Timberwolves allow the third-most points to centers and rank just 27th in opponent rebounds to the position. I expect Embiid to dominate in this game, as he does in most games, and we don’t want to miss out on this discount. Keep in mind, you can’t use both discounts together, so let’s get to the third pick with which you can pair them.
Best Sleeper Fantasy NBA Pick: Joel Embiid More Than 29.5 Points
Bam Adebayo H/L 10.5 Rebounds
After missing a handful of games, Bam Adebayo is back in action for the Heat, along with his teammate Tyler Herro, who also missed a bunch of time. Adebayo is averaging 9.7 rebounds on 16.2 chances on the season. Tonight he gets a tough matchup against the Orlando Magic.
Orlando is the second-best rebounding team in the NBA, allowing just 40.2 rebounds to opponents. More specifically, it ranks 12th against the center position. I’m leaning towards less than for a projection above his average in a bad matchup, but let’s take a look at OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool to confirm. All operators are juiced to the lower between -120 and -158. Lock in less than!
Best Sleeper Fantasy NBA Pick: Bam Adebayo Less Than 10.5 Rebounds
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