It is time for the first Game 7 of the NBA postseason! With the Kings ready to host the Warriors for a winner-take-all matchup, we need to look at the OddsShopper Premium Tool and evaluate where the best spots are for Warriors-Kings bets. Below we will look at OddsShopper’s best player prop and best game line for this playoff matchup on Sunday, April 30.
To get more NBA player props and best bets for playoff games today, check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays, including our Parlay Builder!
Best NBA Player Prop for Warriors-Kings Game 7
Kevon Looney O/U 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Looney’s Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA) line has seen a huge jump from his regular-season average since he has pushed 20 rebounds in this series. Those rebounds are the driving force of his chances of hitting this line, though he does have three games with at least six assists as well. All told, Looney has exceeded 23.5 PRA in three of the six games against Sacramento this series — but only four out of 10 counting the four matchups with the Kings during the season. So while he has put up some juicy rebounding stats, OddsShopper is preferring the under here quite a bit.
As of writing, Looney projects for almost exactly 23.5 PRA, and the under has a narrow 52% chance of hitting. However, since that is still above a 50-50 proposition and comes at plus money (+100 on FanDuel), this play has a slate-leading 5% expected ROI and is OddsShopper‘s No. 1 prop of the day.
Best Warriors-Kings Prop: Kevon Looney UNDER 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+100, FanDuel)
Best NBA Bet for Warriors-Kings Game 7
Golden State Warriors (-0.5) vs. Sacramento Kings First Half Spread
This series has largely been close, with only two of the six games decided by double digits. That said, the first half score disparities have been a bit more lopsided than this spread portends; one team has led by at least 6 in four of the six games as well.
These two teams have also split the first halfs, with Golden State leading at the break in three and Sacramento leading in three. Golden State is currently up by 5 in the first halfs combined. That said, the Kings are projecting as the fast-starting team on OddsShopper right now, with the premium tool giving them a 54% chance of covering the 0.5 points at the break for an expected ROI of 4%. This is currently one of only two game lines on the slate with a positive ROI as of writing, and the other +EV play — the Warriors-Kings second quarter total — is less than 1% for xROI.
At -110 on PointsBet, this is currently the only game line worth taking.
Best Warriors-Kings Bet: Sacramento Kings First Half +0.5 (-110, PointsBet)
