The Golden State Warriors kick off the final stretch of the NBA regular season with a road game against the Los Angeles Lakers. Both teams are on the outside looking in to the Western Conference playoff race. Golden State is in 9th place, struggling to remain in the hunt for the playoffs or the play-in round as they manage without superstar Stephen Curry. The Lakers are a distant 13th place in the conference, but have added D’Angelo Russell via trade in hopes that he can complement LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Regardless of the long-term outlook, there a few NBA prop bets that stand out in this game according to OddsShopper’s NBA betting tool.
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NBA Prop Bets: Warriors-Lakers Prop Bets
With Stephen Curry injured the Warriors’ rotation has been in flux. That may be hurting the team, but it is opening up opportunity for the team’s depth. And with more playing time comes more opportunity for inefficient prop lines. Our NBA prop models show several bets that stand out on the Golden State side.
Jonathan Kuminga is looking like a strong fantasy play tonight, but you can also find value on his props. Steve Kerr has been raving about the 2nd-year wing, and he’s put his money where his mouth is. Kuminga has received steady playing time off the bench throughout February, averaging over 20-minutes a game. He was excellent in his last outing, putting up 16 points in 22 minutes against the Clippers. However, the impressive month may be inflating Kuminga’s lines.
OddsShopepr is finding positive ROI on a couple Jonathan Kuminga NBA prop betting markets as he returns to Los Angeles, this time against the Lakers. The under 0.5 three pointers is +140 at DraftKings, which comes to a 6% ROI and 44% win rate. Kuminga to go under 10.5 points is priced at -105, also at DraftKings. That also has a 6% ROI at a win rate of 54%.
Curry’s absence has also meant usage increases for the rest of the Warriors starting lineup. Klay Thompson is one beneficiary. He is being mispriced on some betting markets according to our model. You can grab Klay Thompson over 2.5 assists at +102 on Unibet. That bet should hit 52% of the time for a long-term ROI of 5%.
The NBA has had a few days off, but don’t let your guard down. There is always late news throughout the night, and if anything in this game changes OddsShopper will have up to date news and analysis. Our models continue to track the market, so if you are looking to pounce on +EV bets as they come up, check out the Premium subscriptions to access all of the tools.
