The Washington Wizards and Detroit Pistons will square off in a battle of Eastern Conference bottom-dwellers tomorrow. Although the Wizards have strung together six-straight wins, their interior defense has taken a massive step backward. Bettors looking for a way to bet Wednesday’s Wizards-Pistons contest should tail this NBA player prop at DraftKings — the book has left too much value on the Jalen Duren player prop markets. Check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
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Best Wizards-Pistons NBA Player Prop | Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren Prop O/U 10.5 Points
Detroit’s rookie center, Jalen Duren, has earned himself a spot in the Rising Stars Challenge on All-Star Weekend. He has stepped up with Cade Cunningham and Marvin Bagley III injured for the Pistons. He is averaging 14 points, 9 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game since Bagley’s last appearance on Jan. 2 — yet the books have opened the bidding for his points prop at only 10.5. Bettors looking for some early value should buy the over before the juice dips below +100.
The Washington Wizards have shown some grit this year, but recent trends point to some value here despite their six-game winning streak. The Wizards rank a solid 14th in defensive efficiency on the year and rank a deliberate 18th in pace. They move to eighth in defensive efficiency and 12th in pace when looking at the last seven games. However, those changes correspond with massive regression in the paint — the Wizards have allowed an NBA-high 58 points in the paint per game through their last seven contests.
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Duren should benefit from the positional matchup. The Wizards have allowed the fifth-most points per game to centers this year (24). Recent lowlights include a 22-point showing from Dwight Powell and a 21-point triple-double from Alperen Sengün. Although Washington center Daniel Gafford grades out as a positive defender, he didn’t stop either Powell or Sengün from going off and is questionable with an illness. The Wizards opted to shift Kristaps Porzingis to center when Gafford sat on Monday and surrendered 74 points in the paint as a result.
Getting the over on Duren’s points prop at even or better should yield a positive return. FanDuel opened the market at -106, while Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, opened it at -102. Bettors should head to DraftKings Sportsbook before the +100 comes off the board. Users yet to register at DraftKings can secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager!
Best NBA Wizards-Pistons Player Prop: Jalen Duren Over 10.5 Points (+100) at DraftKings
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