I usually originate my own picks, but the sharpest bettors use tools to help them, and I’m not embarrassed to admit that I’ve made some money using OddsShopper’s betting model. I’ll have my own column for Game 1 of the NBA Finals up tomorrow, but this line for Jamal Murray player prop probably won’t be on the board by then. We’re headed to Caesars Sportsbook for this one. For more player prop bets for Game 1 of the NBA Finals, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles.
NBA Finals Game 1 Player Prop | Jamal Murray
Jamal Murray O/U 36.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)
While it’s true that Jamal Murray has looked exceptional in the postseason, it’s worth wondering how high his ceiling is in Game 1. The Denver Nuggets have won their opening contests by at least six points. They blew out the Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 and the Phoenix Suns by 18 before narrowly escaping against the Los Angeles Lakers by six. Murray did plenty of damage in those games, but how much will he need to do in Game 1?
The number for this NBA Finals player prop has just gotten a bit too high, which is why OddsShopper’s betting model wants action on the under. Sure, Murray is averaging 39.3 PRA per game in the postseason. He also averaged 30.2 PRA in the regular season, which dipped to 26.6 PRA in the eight games he played with the Nuggets having at least three days of rest. Murray is an exceptionally talented player, but the market remains somewhat skeptical of him for valid reasons, and we can exploit that edge at Caesars.
Pinnacle, a sharp book used as part of the OddsShopper algorithm, has the under for this Jamal Murray player prop priced at only -140 (58.3%), but we can find it still priced at -111 (52.6%) at Caesars Sportsbook. That’s too much value to pass up. Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250 — a great way to help build your bankroll before the NBA Finals come to an end!
NBA Finals Game 1 Player Prop: Jamal Murray Under 36.5 PRA -111 at Caesars
