Brandon Miller Player Prop: Best Pistons-Hornets Bet (March 11)

The Charlotte Hornets will face the Detroit Pistons in a battle of NBA bottom-dwellers this evening. Neither squad has anything to play for but the lottery and player development, but that hasn’t stopped them both from winning games lately. The Hornets just beat the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday and were led by 24 points from Miles Bridges and 23 from Brandon Miller.

Detroit’s defensive struggles should benefit Miller more than they benefit Bridges. Over the last seven games, now that both Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart are back, they have been an above-average team in terms of shots allowed per game in the restricted area, where Bridges feasts. However, they have been the third-worst team in the mid-range, allowing 7.6 shots per contest. Miller is averaging the eighth-most field goals made per game in that zone since the All-Star Break.

Miller has stepped up since the February 8 trade deadline. Following that date, he has averaged 18.4 points per game (up from his season average of 16.9). He has been even better in March, averaging 22 points per contest over a four-game sample. In a rare winnable game for the Hornets, look for him to make his mark by tallying at least 21 points.