The Cleveland Cavaliers and Brooklyn Nets made the long trip to France for this year’s Paris game. Both sides have already ruled out several pieces, including Evan Mobley, Day’Ron Sharpe, Darius Garland and Ben Simmons. Let’s dive into the Donovan Mitchell player prop odds for the 2024 Paris Game as we look to identify the best bet for Thursday’s Cavaliers-Nets matchup. If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NBA player prop picks (when they go live), our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos. Also, you can always check out my guide to NBA player prop betting as well!
Donovan Mitchell Player Prop: Best Cavaliers-Nets Pick for Paris
2024 NBA Paris Game Player Prop Pick: Donovan Mitchell O/U 26.5 Points
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been relying on Donovan Mitchell to play point guard with Darius Garland sidelined. Over the 11 games Mitchell has played without his backcourt mate, he is averaging an impressive 28.8 points per game. Although he only cleared the 26.5 in five of those contests, he scored exactly 26 three times.
We’re trusting Mitchell to make a splash on Thursday because of the matchup. The Brooklyn Nets allow the second-most made field goals from above the break (10.7) and mid-range (5.1) per game, which are two zones Mitchell excels in. Mitchell is averaging 11.8 attempts from those zones per game, good for 55.6% of his overall shot attempts.
The Nets have also fared terribly against opposing point guards. Brooklyn allows the third-most points (26.6) and the most 3-pointers (4) per game to the position on the year. They rank fourth-worst (28.7) and seventh-worst (3.8) over the last 15 games as well, so they haven’t made meaningful improvements.
I locked in Mitchell over 26.5 at odds of -125 via ESPNBet on Wednesday evening. Most books have Mitchell’s standard prop total at 27.5, including Pinnacle, a sharp book, which was charging -106 for the over 27.5 as of publication. Teasing this down to 26.5 gives us a number Mitchell has cleared in three of his four starts versus the Nets with the Cavs.
Cavaliers-Nets Player Prop Betting Pick for Paris: Donovan Mitchell Over 26.5 Points -125 at ESPN
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