Welcome back as we swept the board last night, a perfect 3-0. Since we are only as good as our next column, we return with three more gems for tonight’s NBA action on Pick6.
Tonight’s slate is jammed with 12 games spanning across the country and plenty of playoff importance to go around. The Pacers host a banged up Thunder team to tip off the night, then it’s the Bucks trying to slow a skid against the Raptors, but most of the playoff push comes out West. Two games of the night feature the Mavs hosting the Warriors and the Suns hosting the Wolves.
Looking for more NBA pick’em advice? Check out the rest of our NBA articles or our NBA pick’em tools. You can also read our guide to DraftKings Pick6.
Here’s the lowdown on DraftKings Pick6: It is meant to mirror most pick’em sites, allowing you to build a two- to six-leg entry with larger payouts for more correct choices. However, the new product is peer-to-peer, meaning the strategy lies in beating other players in pre-selected tournaments rather than beating the house, making it important to be contrarian!
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DraftKings Pick6 Predictions Today – NBA Slate
Collin Sexton M/L 34.5 PRA
The Jazz are spoilers at best, looking to continue to confuse the host Clippers. The issue is the Jazz aren’t that good and the Clippers have turned desperate off a win. Collin Sexton is charged with a 35 PRA night in order to go MORE than his total, but his action might be limited against LA. We’ve seen Sexton hover or fall short of this number more consistently than not, with a recent spike against the Rockets and Spurs.
While the result of tonight’s game shouldn’t be different than the previous ten games – all losses – Sexton is going to have to fight both minutes and an efficient night from the floor. He’s not getting 35 PRA without dropping 20+ points. The true odds of this play from OddsShopper are -157. By using the pick’em tool, we can identify value knowing the implied odds for Pick6 are -136, which provides a near 6% EV edge.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Collin Sexton LESS Than 34.5 PRA
Lu Dort LESS Than 21.5 PRA
We stay in the P+R+A market as we find another attackable spot with Lu Dort on the Thunder. OKC is without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and thus it appears Dort’s numbers may be inflated. It’s either this or incredible recency bias following Dort going over this number on Tuesday against the Sixers. For the most part, SGA’s absence doesn’t open any floodgates for Dort in this market – especially because his assists totals are so low.
The Thunder are in a good spot to cover this spread and keep this game close against the Pacers. Even the high tempo won’t increase the production from Dort, at least enough to push him over this number. His minutes won’t be impacted either way, and we should see guys like Gordon Hayward have a bounce back game from their rough loss to the Celtics.
We gain some edge against the market with the true odds sitting at -148. OddsShopper’s pick’em tool is beating this at -136, a significant win against the market price.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Lu Dort LESS Than 21.5 PRA
Aaron Nesmith M/L 4.5 Rebounds
Staying in this Pacers-Thunder game we find this rebound play for Aaron Nesmith. The total may seem a little low for a fast paced game against a team that can’t rebound, but there’s a little more at play. Nesmith has been under this number consistently and is not getting there tonight against the Thunder. Even with the struggles OKC sees on the glass, it won’t open up any more chances for Nesmith.
We shouldn’t expect minutes to matter much in staying less than this total, as Nesmith has played in the low 20s to high 30s and stayed under. There’s still a slight edge over the market here with the -136 implied odds beating the true odds of -141. The pick’em tool is perfect in finding edge, be it massive or slight over the market. This is the best way to routinely beat Pick6 and how we use it on OddsShopper.
DraftKings Pick6 Prediction: Aaron Nesmith LESS Than 4.5 Rebounds
OddsShopper’s NBA Tools & Tips
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