After scoring a solid win over the Chicago Bulls on Sunday, the Indiana Pacers will host the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. The 76ers, fresh off a big win of their own, have a rest advantage but will have to play again tomorrow. Bettors looking for a high-value NBA player prop for tonight’s 76ers-Pacers game should tail the prediction below — Caesars has left a bit too much value on the Myles Turner player prop markets. Make sure to check out OddsShopper’s tools for other sharp plays.
Best 76ers-Pacers NBA Player Prop | Myles Turner
Myles Turner O/U 26.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists
Although Myles Turner has played a bigger role for the Pacers since the team shipped off Domantas Sabonis, tonight may not go so well for the star center. Turner is averaging 18.1 points, 7.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game this year (27.3) but has a tough matchup against the gritty, slow-paced Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers play at the fifth-slowest pace and rank eighth in defensive rating on the year.
Philadelphia’s defense and center Joel Embiid have caused problems for their opponents all season. The 76ers have allowed the fourth-fewest points per game to the position (20.8) and the seventh-fewest rebounds (14.3). Over the last 15 games, they have allowed the eighth-fewest points per game to centers (20.3) and the fewest rebounds (11.8).
While Embiid sometimes struggles to limit opposing centers from the three-point line, Turner has never performed well against him. Indiana’s center has averaged 4.3 personal fouls per game against Embiid, which has limited his playing time. As a result, he has racked up only 8.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, 0.5 assists (14.2) and 0.8 3-pointers per game in their meetings. Turner also struggles to make 3-pointers when playing without rest — he has made only 33.3% of his 3-pointers on the wrong end of a back-to-back, 6% worse than his season average.
The books have set this total (26.5) slightly below Turner’s season average (27.3). That isn’t a sufficient adjustment for this matchup, especially with Embiid on the floor. Turner racked up only 23 points, rebounds and assists against the Embiid-less 76ers earlier this year. He has gone over this number against Embiid just once in his career. Bettors should lock in the under at -108 at Caesars Sportsbook. Users yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!
Best 76ers-Pacers Player Prop: Myles Turner Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-108 for 0.75 Unit) at Caesars
