If you’re looking for the best expert NBA bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by solid stats and trends. Using some insight and +EV NBA picks, here are the best plays for tonight’s action:
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Expert NBA Bets Today: +EV NBA Picks and More
Warriors @ Rockets
Game Total Under 218.5 (-108) at FanDuel
- Coach Kerr said he may rest veteran players.
- It’s the second leg of a back-to-back for both teams.
- It’s a below-average Warriors offense versus a top-5 Houston defense.
- Houston may be without a handful of players like Eason, Adams & more.
Kings @ Pelicans
Jose Alvarado Over 6.5 Assists (+120) at BetRivers
- He had 9 assists last night versus Sacramento and had 9 assists a few night before against the Kings.
- His Ast% is highest of his career (27%).
- This game features the highest total on the board, which means there will be plenty of scoring chances.
- Sacramento has a poor defense: 23rd in defensive eFG% & 19th in Points per 100 Possessions allowed.
Heat @ Mavs
Max Christie Under 5.5 Rebounds (-120) at BetRivers
- He’s averaging 5 rebounds per game with the Mavericks.
- But, his season average is just 3 rebounds per game.
- His rebound percentage is just 7.8%.
- The rest of the betting market lists this prop at -140 or worse.
Thunder @ T’Wolves
Mike Conley Under 5.5 Assists (-130) at DraftKings
- Hi ast% is 25.5%, which puts him in the 32nd percentile for position group.
- He’s averaging 4.6 assists per game this season.
- He’s facing a great OKC defense, which limits scoring chances for the T’Wolves.
- OKC allows the 4th fewest assists per game.
- The rest of the betting market is -140 or worse.
Clippers @ Jazz
Walker Kessler Under 11.5 Rebounds (-125) at DraftKings
- He’s averaging 12 rebounds per game, but this is a tough matchup vs Zubac.
- Zubac has a 20% rebound percentage, while Kessler is at 18.5%.
- Kessler only had 7 rebounds earlier this year against the Clippers.
- The rest of the betting market is -140 or worse on this prop.
Final Thoughts
These picks offer strong value based on their odds compared to the rest of the market, along with recent form and matchup data. If you want to find more +EV bets like these ones on a daily basis, make sure you sign up for our free 7-day trial of Portfolio EV, where you can access dozens of +EV wagers every single day.
