If you’re looking for the best expert NBA bets today, we’ve got you covered with top picks backed by solid stats and trends. Using some insight and +EV NBA picks, here are the best plays for tonight’s action:
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Expert NBA Bets Today – +EV NBA Picks and More
Hawks @ Pacers
Myles Turner Over 1.3 3PT FGM (-135) at DraftKings
- The Hawks rank 23rd in opponent three-point attempts and 24th in opponent three-point field goal percentage, making them a prime target for outside shooters.
- 41% of Turner’s shots come from beyond the arc, where he’s knocking them down at a 40% clip.
- He has averaged 2.5 made threes per game in January and has hit at least two in 9 of his last 11 games.
- With these strong shooting trends and a favorable matchup, Turner is a solid bet to clear this mark.
Magic @ Jazz
Collin Sexton Under 17.5 Points (-110) at Hard Rock
- Sexton relies heavily on mid-range shots (46% of his attempts) and three-pointers (30%).
- The Magic allow the fewest three-point shot attempts in the league, limiting his opportunities from deep.
- Orlando also ranks 9th in opponent field goal percentage from mid-range, making it a tough scoring environment for Sexton.
- Expect a difficult night for him against an elite Magic defense.
Nuggets @ Hornets
Miles Bridges Under 24.5 Points (-115)
- Bridges is on the second night of a back-to-back, which could impact his scoring efficiency.
- With key teammates out, Bridges has taken on a larger scoring load, inflating his prop line.
- The Nuggets have a disciplined defense that can lock in on him and force him into tough shots or to pass the ball.
- With Denver’s defensive focus, this line appears too high.
Nets @ Rockets
D’Angelo Russell Over 5.5 Assists (-110) at FanDuel
- Since joining Brooklyn, Russell has been a key facilitator, averaging 7.4 assists per game.
- He leads the Nets in potential assists per game (14.8) and has a 51% assist rate with the team.
- Given his playmaking role, this number looks very attainable against the Rockets.
Final Thoughts
These picks offer strong value based on recent form and matchup data. Whether you’re backing shooters like Myles Turner or fading scorers in tough spots like Collin Sexton and Miles Bridges, there are plenty of angles to attack in tonight’s NBA slate.
