At 46-30, the Sacramento Kings are chasing down the 48-28 Memphis Grizzlies for the second seed in the Western Conference. Securing a layup win over the Portland Trail Blazers, who have tapped out of the playoff race, would help them close that gap. OddsShopper’s betting model recommends backing one key member of Sacramento’s rotation. This Domantas Sabonis player prop for tonight’s Kings-Trail Blazers game has tons of value at DraftKings right now. For more Kings-Trail Blazers player prop bets and NBA predictions, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles. I’ve already locked in two other player props for this evening’s action.
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Kings-Trail Blazers Best Bet | Domantas Sabonis Player Prop
Domantas Sabonis O/U 5.5 Assists
This number just screams value right now. Domantas Sabonis is averaging 7.2 assists per game on the year and 8.1 since the All-Star Break. But because some books expect a blowout, the juice isn’t stacked far enough on the over. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the over priced down at -212 (67.9%). But DraftKings Sportsbook, a public book, has it priced at only -155 (60.8%). That gives us plenty of edge on the over for Friday’s action.
This play has more than just market-based reasoning behind it. Not only is Sabonis averaging more than this line, but he is also expected to notch 6.9 assists tonight per Stokastic’s industry-leading NBA DFS projections. Sabonis has beaten this number in 53 of his 74 games this year (71.6%). The blowout potential means he may not see a ton of minutes, but Sabonis should exploit a Portland defense that allows the second-most assists per game (26.5) and the fifth-most to centers (4.3).
Yeah, this number is off. Both @OddsShopper Premium and @StokasticNBA Bet Pro think so.
Sabonis Over 5.5 AST -155 at DK for 1u
YTD: 7.2 AST/G
Post-ASB: 8.1 AST/GCould be a blowout but should still do damage. That's why Pinnacle has the over at -212. pic.twitter.com/O4ORBJkedt
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 31, 2023
It’s surprising how off-market this line is. Other public books have a much more reasonable price. FanDuel Sportsbook has Sabonis at -195 to score at least six assists (66.1%). Caesars Sportsbook has this line at -183 (64.6%). Because DraftKings has such an outlier number available right now, they’ll likely adjust as tip-off approaches. Bettors should act quickly to lock in this player prop at its current price, which offers an expected ROI of 5%. Readers yet to register at DraftKings can score $150 in bonus bets after winning a $5 moneyline wager!
Not every model pick wins, but getting exposure to every market that OddsShopper’s betting model identifies as a +ROI wager is a great way to make a profit. The model has helped bettors who placed $100 on every +ROI bet five minutes before the start of each game since mid-January make $40,000! To try it out, simply sign up for a 7-day free trial by clicking on the ad below!
Kings-Trail Blazers Player Prop Bet: Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists
The legal gambling age is 21+ in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
