The Houston Rockets have long since been eliminated from the NBA playoff race, but the Brooklyn Nets are still alive. If the season ended today, the Nets would even dodge the play-in tournament. However, OddsShopper’s betting model recommends fading one key member of Brooklyn’s rotation. This Spencer Dinwiddie player prop for tonight’s Rockets-Nets game has tons of value at FanDuel right now. For more Rockets-Nets player prop bets and NBA predictions, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles. I’ve already locked in two other player props for this evening’s action.
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Rockets-Nets Odds & Best Bet | Spencer Dinwiddie Player Prop
Spencer Dinwiddie O/U 9.5 Assists
What is FanDuel Sportsbook cooking with this line? Pinnacle, a sharp sportsbook, has the total for Spencer Dinwiddie assists set to 8.5 with the juice slightly slanted for the over. In contrast, FanDuel has the number set a full assist higher. The disparity between the sharp books and FanDuel’s line gives this play an expected win rate of 62% — and an expected ROI of 7%, per OddsShopper’s betting model.
This play has more than just market-based analysis going for it. Dinwiddie has averaged nine assists per game since the All-Star Break, slightly under this number. He recorded only four against the Houston Rockets earlier this month after playing 29 minutes in a blowout win. Dinwiddie’s minutes tend to tick up in competitive situations, but in a matchup against the tanking Rockets, he’s unlikely to stuff the stat sheet — at least for very long.
After posting those bets, I took a look at @OddsShopper Premium and @StokaticNBA Bet Pro for some other plays.
This one jumped out at the top of the board at both sites:
Spencer Dinwiddie u9.5 AST -136 at FD for 0.5u pic.twitter.com/7tuPf8geLy
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) March 29, 2023
So with both market-based analysis and Dinwiddie’s recent numbers on our side, let’s lock in the under. Bettors may not find this number on the board for much longer as sharps look to exploit the value available at FanDuel. Readers yet to register at FanDuel can score a no-sweat first bet worth up to $1,000, so even if Dinwiddie doesn’t come through, you’ll still get another chance to make a profit.
Not every model pick wins, but getting exposure to every market that OddsShopper’s betting model identifies as a +ROI wager is a great way to make a profit. The model has helped bettors who placed $100 on every +ROI bet five minutes before the start of each game since mid-January make $40,000! To try it out, simply sign up for a 7-day free trial by clicking on the ad below!
Rockets-Nets Player Prop Bet: Spencer Dinwiddie Over 9.5 Assists (-136 for 0.5 Unit) at FanDuel
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