The Los Angeles Lakers will host the Phoenix Suns tonight. The Lakers have to keep winning to stay out of the play-in tournament, but OddsShopper’s betting model recommends fading one key member of their rotation anyway. This LeBron James player prop for tonight’s Suns-Lakers game has tons of value at FanDuel. For more Suns-Lakers player prop bets and NBA predictions, check out OddsShopper’s tools and articles. I’ve already locked in two other player props for this evening’s action.
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Suns-Lakers Odds & Best Bet Tonight | LeBron James Player Prop
LeBron James O/U 27.5 Points
Even though the Lakers are in a must-win spot, they probably won’t need to get that much production out of their superstars. James shouldn’t see a ton of minutes against the shorthanded Suns, who have already ruled out Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton. The sharp books understand this — Pinnacle has set James’ points line to 26.5. In contrast, FanDuel Sportsbook has it up at 27.5, which gives this play an expected ROI of 9%, per OddsShopper’s betting model.
There is more than market-based reasoning to back this play. James is averaging only 25 points per game since returning to the lineup in late March. He has beaten this number in just two of his starts since then, both of which came against teams that could still change their playoff or play-in seeding. With the Lakers lining up against an unmotivated opponent tonight, James should get plenty of minutes on the bench as the Lakers prepare for the postseason.
Per both @OddsShopper Premium and @StokasticNBA Bet Pro, it's a good night to fade the LA Lakers' superstars.
LeBron James Under 27.5 PTS -106 at FD for 0.5u
Still TBD if he plays, but if he does, don't expect him to do much in what should be a blowout win. pic.twitter.com/uKfxgGX7DQ
— Isaiah Sirois (@is_sirois) April 7, 2023
With FanDuel having set this NBA player prop a full point higher than where the sharp books have it, let’s take advantage. Readers yet to register at FanDuel can score a no-sweat first bet worth up to $1,000, so even if Butler doesn’t come through, you’ll still get another chance to make a profit. Let’s wager enough on this one to score a half-unit profit.
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Suns-Lakers Player Prop Bet: LeBron James Under 27.5 Points (-111 for 0.5 Unit) at FanDuel
