The surging Houston Rockets still have a chance to make the NBA play-in tournament this season, but they’ll have to catch up to Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors. Keep reading for our top Rockets-Thunder bet, which is a player prop pick for Jalen Green. If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NBA player prop picks, our NBA betting tools or our NBA betting promos. Also, you can always check out my guide to NBA player prop betting as well!
Jalen Green Player Prop: Best Rockets-Thunder Bet Today
Rockets-Thunder Player Prop Pick: Jalen Green O/U 26.5 Points
This NBA player prop pick that I saw popping in the OddsShopper Premium model today is one that I agree with strongly for projection-based reasons. Jalen Green is one of the hottest commodities in the NBA at the moment, but he has been two completely different players at home versus on the road. He draws a tough road contest with the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.
Green’s points prop is trading at 26.5 with the under priced at only -115 on both Caesars and bet365. These two books are some of the model’s best by ROI, so you know this pick is a good one. Pinnacle, a sharp book, has the same bet priced at a much stingier -139. Fanatics has already dropped Green’s total to 25.5 for -110. The market doesn’t expect a great game from Green tonight, but public books are hoping to cash in on the hype.
The Green hype is somewhat justified, but it’s probably not justified in this spot. After averaging 18 points per game before the All-Star Break, Green has stepped up following an injury to Alperen Sengün and has since averaged 24.6 points per game. Still, that’s well above where his points total (26.5) is trading today. Green’s home and away splits are also catastrophic: he averages 20.5 at home but only 18.6 on the road.
The road just isn’t kind to Green. In three road games without Sengün, he cleared the 26.5 just once — and it’s not like he was playing good defenses! The Washington Wizards allowed him to score 42, the Atlanta Hawks held him to 26 and the San Antonio Spurs kept him to 16. Green is averaging just 15.8 points per game versus the Oklahoma City Thunder since entering the NBA and 14 since the start of this year. It’s time to sell high.
Rockets-Thunder Player Prop: Jalen Green Under 26.5 Points -115 at Caesars
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